Sport Picks

Uzbekistan

Professional Football League 2017

Obod Tashkent

1 - 4

Metallurg Bekabad

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Numonov A.

37'

Abdullaev Z.

46'

Abdullaev Z.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Professional Football League 2017 game between Obod Tashkent and Metallurg Bekabad finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metallurg Bekabad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Obod Tashkent

39%

Draws

30%

Metallurg Bekabad

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Metallurg Bekabad come out ahead of Obod Tashkent on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Obod Tashkent Clean Sheet 20%

Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Obod Tashkent	Metallurg Bekabad
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	2	11
Draws	3	11
Losses	25	9
Goals Scored	0	0.75
Goals Conceded	0	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2017 Super League

Metallurg Bekabad vs Obod Tashkent

Possession: 40% - 54% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

Jun 14, 2017 Super League

Obod Tashkent vs Metallurg Bekabad

Possession: 52% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

1:4

Aug 25, 2016 Super League

Obod Tashkent vs Metallurg Bekabad

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Apr 16, 2016 Super League

Metallurg Bekabad vs Obod Tashkent

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Obod Tashkent Compare

Top Goalscorer Norkhonov S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Metallurg Bekabad Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullaev Z.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Numonov A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Obod Tashkent 32 / 100

Metallurg Bekabad 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Obod Tashkent Metallurg Bekabad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metallurg Bekabad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Obod Tashkent found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (23 games).

Difficult form: Metallurg Bekabad registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Metallurg Bekabad

0 Goals Scored 0.75

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lok. Tashkent	30	22	4	4	67:20	70
2	Nasaf Qarshi	30	20	2	8	58:18	62
3	Pakhtakor	30	18	5	7	44:28	59
4	Bunyodkor	30	14	10	6	47:29	52
5	Navbahor Namangan	30	12	10	8	40:37	46
6	Buxoro	30	13	7	10	42:40	46
7	OKMK	30	12	8	10	31:32	44
8	Mashal Muborak	30	12	8	10	37:31	44
9	Kokand 1912	30	11	8	11	42:47	41
10	Metallurg Bekabad	30	12	4	14	40:39	40
11	Qizilqum	30	9	10	11	31:40	37
12	Din. Samarkand	30	8	8	14	21:35	32
13	Sogdiana	30	8	7	15	33:51	31
14	Shortan Guzor	30	8	3	19	28:52	27
15	Neftchi Fargona	30	6	9	15	23:48	27
16	Obod Tashkent	30	2	3	25	15:52	9