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Ocean Kerch vs GFK Yalta Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea) 2025 Stadium 50th Anniversary of October, Kerch
Sun, Nov 16, 2025
0 - 3
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ocean Kerch host GFK Yalta in the Premier League (Crimea) 2025. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Ocean Kerch have averaged 1.28 scored and 1.59 conceded recently, against GFK Yalta's 2.5 scored and 1.67 conceded. Head-to-head, Ocean Kerch have won 1 to GFK Yalta's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 3.19, favoring GFK Yalta. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ocean Kerch
15%
Draws
57%
GFK Yalta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GFK Yalta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Ocean Kerch haven't matched GFK Yalta's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • GFK Yalta have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ocean Kerch Clean Sheet 10%
GFK Yalta Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocean Kerch GFK Yalta
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.28 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs GFK Yalta
1:2
Jun 6, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
GFK Yalta vs Ocean Kerch
3:1
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs GFK Yalta
0:2
Nov 16, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs GFK Yalta
0:3
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
GFK Yalta vs Ocean Kerch
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocean Kerch 29 / 100
GFK Yalta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocean Kerch GFK Yalta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ocean Kerch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: GFK Yalta conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Ocean Kerch scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Ocean Kerch stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ocean Kerch VS GFK Yalta
1 Goals Scored 3.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocean Kerch

(Home)
03 Oct
Ocean Kerch
4 : 1
Sparta-KT
27 Sept
Ocean Kerch
0 : 2
Zarechnoye
19 Sept
Ocean Kerch
1 : 2
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
30 Aug
Ocean Kerch
5 : 1
Feodosiya
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GFK Yalta

(Away)
03 Oct
Zarechnoye
0 : 1
GFK Yalta
19 Sept
Ocean Kerch
1 : 2
GFK Yalta
09 Sept
TSK Simferopol
4 : 0
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
Feodosiya
3 : 6
GFK Yalta
30 Aug
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
MAK
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