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Ocean Kerch vs TSK Simferopol

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea) 2025 Stadium 50th Anniversary of October, Kerch
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Lysymenko N.
18'
Sub
Chernoudov G. In: Luchansky V.
Out: Chernoudov G.
19'
Kramny A.

AI Match Summary

Ocean Kerch in this Premier League (Crimea) 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ocean Kerch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ocean Kerch
6%
Draws
90%
TSK Simferopol
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: TSK Simferopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • TSK Simferopol have won more games recently than Ocean Kerch.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on TSK Simferopol taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • TSK Simferopol have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ocean Kerch Clean Sheet 10%
TSK Simferopol Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocean Kerch TSK Simferopol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs TSK Simferopol
0:4
Apr 4, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Ocean Kerch
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs TSK Simferopol
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Ocean Kerch
1:0
Jun 1, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs TSK Simferopol
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ocean Kerch Compare

Top Goalscorer Lysymenko N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krasov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

TSK Simferopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Khvataev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocean Kerch 10 / 100
TSK Simferopol 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocean Kerch TSK Simferopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSK Simferopol let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: TSK Simferopol registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ocean Kerch's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ocean Kerch VS TSK Simferopol
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocean Kerch

(Home)
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
14 Jun
Ocean Kerch
0 : 5
Zarechnoye
06 Jun
GFK Yalta
3 : 1
Ocean Kerch
24 May
Ocean Kerch
0 : 4
TSK Simferopol
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TSK Simferopol

(Away)
28 Jun
TSK Simferopol
5 : 1
Feodosiya
20 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
MAK
14 Jun
Sparta-KT
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
06 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
Zarechnoye
31 May
GFK Yalta
3 : 2
TSK Simferopol
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