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Ocotal vs San Marcos

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Primera Division 2007/2008
Ocotal Logo

Ocotal

5 - 0
FT
San Marcos Logo

San Marcos

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ocotal in this Primera Division 2007/2008 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ocotal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ocotal
15%
Draws
64%
San Marcos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Marcos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • San Marcos have won more games recently than Ocotal.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on San Marcos taking it.
  • Regular Primera Division 2007/2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ocotal Clean Sheet 19%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocotal San Marcos
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 0.91 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2014 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Ocotal
3:1
Jan 5, 2014 Liga Primera
Ocotal vs San Marcos
2:0
Sep 22, 2013 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Ocotal
2:2
Aug 4, 2013 Liga Primera
Ocotal vs San Marcos
1:0
May 25, 2008 Liga Primera
Ocotal vs San Marcos
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocotal 24 / 100
San Marcos 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocotal San Marcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Marcos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Marcos conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Ocotal scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Ocotal has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ocotal VS San Marcos
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocotal

(Home)
30 Apr
Ocotal
0 : 2
Diriangen
27 Apr
Sport Sebaco
2 : 1
Ocotal
17 Apr
Esteli
3 : 2
Ocotal
13 Apr
UNAN-Managua
4 : 0
Ocotal
07 Apr
Ocotal
2 : 0
Rancho Santana
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San Marcos

(Away)
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
03 Sept
Esteli
2 : 0
San Marcos
30 Aug
San Marcos
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
23 Aug
Rancho Santana
1 : 2
San Marcos
16 Aug
Matagalpa
1 : 0
San Marcos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diriangen 18 11 6 1 30:10 39
2 Ocotal 18 12 2 4 43:12 38
3 Walter Ferreti 18 11 3 4 34:13 36
4 Esteli 18 10 3 5 37:13 33
5 Real Madriz 18 6 5 7 16:27 23
6 Masatepe 18 6 3 9 23:24 21
7 Bluefields 18 5 6 7 26:33 21
8 Diablos Rojos America 18 6 2 10 19:36 20
9 San Marcos 18 4 5 9 21:39 17
10 Deportivo Jalapa 18 0 3 15 7:49 3
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)