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Oeirense vs Piaui

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2025
Oeirense Logo

Oeirense

0 - 1
FT
Piaui Logo

Piaui

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Match Events

46' Event
Luan Freire
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense 2025 game between Oeirense and Piaui finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Piaui.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Oeirense
15%
Draws
48%
Piaui
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piaui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Piaui carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Piauiense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Piaui here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Oeirense Clean Sheet 68%
Piaui Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oeirense Piaui
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 16
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Piauiense
Piaui vs Oeirense
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Piauiense
Piaui vs Oeirense
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Piauiense
Oeirense vs Piaui
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oeirense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Piaui Compare

Top Goalscorer Luan Freire
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oeirense 41 / 100
Piaui 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oeirense Piaui

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oeirense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oeirense scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Oeirense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Piaui conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Piaui
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oeirense

(Home)
22 Feb
Oeirense
0 : 0
AE Altos
13 Feb
Piaui
2 : 1
Oeirense
08 Feb
Parnahyba
1 : 2
Oeirense
31 Jan
Oeirense
3 : 1
Corisabba
23 Jan
TEC
1 : 0
Oeirense
Page 1 of 6

Piaui

(Away)
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
13 Jun
Piaui
2 : 1
Tirol
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AE Altos 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Fluminense-PI 6 2 3 1 7:4 9
3 Atletico-PI 6 1 4 1 7:7 7
4 River-PI 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - Piauiense 2025 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piaui 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
2 Parnahyba 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Oeirense 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Julho Esporte 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
Promotion - Piauiense 2025 (Second stage)