Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Resonac Dome Oita

Oita Trinita

Sun, Mar 8, 2026

1 - 0

05:00 AM

Kagoshima United

Our Tip

Match Events

44'

Matheus Pereira

65'

Sub

Udo S. In: Kiyotake H.

Out: Udo S.

65'

Sub

Patrick Verhon In: Isa K.

Out: Patrick Verhon

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Oita Trinita and Kagoshima United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oita Trinita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Oita Trinita

17%

Draws

70%

Kagoshima United

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Kagoshima United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Kagoshima United come out ahead of Oita Trinita on wins alone.
Model gives Kagoshima United a 70% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Oita Trinita have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

Oita Trinita Clean Sheet 21%

Kagoshima United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oita Trinita	Kagoshima United
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	17
Draws	3	3
Losses	16	10
Goals Scored	0.75	1.25
Goals Conceded	1	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League

Kagoshima United vs Oita Trinita

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Mar 8, 2026 J2/J3 League

Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Jun 22, 2024 J2 League

Kagoshima United vs Oita Trinita

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Jun 12, 2024 Emperors Cup

Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Mar 20, 2024 J2 League

Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 4 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oita Trinita 16 / 100

Kagoshima United 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oita Trinita Kagoshima United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Oita Trinita scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Kagoshima United has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Oita Trinita stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oita Trinita VS Kagoshima United

0.75 Goals Scored 1.25

1 Goals Conceded 1.13

38% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15