Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Resonac Dome Oita

Reilac Shiga

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Oita Trinita play Reilac Shiga in the J2/J3 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Oita Trinita averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Reilac Shiga averaged 0.96 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Oita Trinita won 2, Reilac Shiga won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Oita Trinita and 0.88 for Reilac Shiga. This points to a Oita Trinita double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Oita Trinita

15%

Draws

33%

Reilac Shiga

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oita Trinita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Oita Trinita picked up more points recently compared to Reilac Shiga.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 61%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Oita Trinita Clean Sheet 25%

Reilac Shiga Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 55%

Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oita Trinita	Reilac Shiga
Matches Played	31	26
Wins	12	9
Draws	3	1
Losses	16	16
Goals Scored	1.13	0.96
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.69
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 J2/J3 League

Reilac Shiga vs Oita Trinita

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 0 - 2

0:3

Feb 25, 2026 J2/J3 League

Oita Trinita vs Reilac Shiga

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oita Trinita Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Hyun-woo

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Reilac Shiga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oita Trinita 52 / 100

Reilac Shiga 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oita Trinita Reilac Shiga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Oita Trinita or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Oita Trinita attacking → ← attacking Reilac Shiga

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oita Trinita scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Reilac Shiga let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Oita Trinita went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Reilac Shiga lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 28

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15