Sport Picks
OKMK vs Termez Surkhon
Uzbekistan
Super League OKMK Sport Majmuasi, Olmaliq 
Match Events
3'
3'
Abdurazzakov N.
Assist: Sobirzhonov A.
29'
29'
Sentoku A.
46'
46'
Sub
Uktamov B. In: Abdukhamidov S.
Out: Uktamov B.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between OKMK and Termez Surkhon finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Termez Surkhon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Termez Surkhon haven't matched OKMK's recent run of results.
- Model gives OKMK a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
OKMK Clean Sheet 20%
Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | OKMK | Termez Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs OKMK
0:0
Apr 8, 2026 Super League
OKMK vs Termez Surkhon
1:1
Nov 20, 2025 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs OKMK
0:0
Jun 30, 2025 Super League
OKMK vs Termez Surkhon
0:1
Sep 16, 2024 Super League
OKMK vs Termez Surkhon
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
OKMK Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdurazzakov N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Termez Surkhon Compare
Top Goalscorer Chinedu S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
OKMK 42 / 100
Termez Surkhon 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
OKMK Termez Surkhon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
OKMK found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Termez Surkhon conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.
OKMK went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
OKMK VS Termez Surkhon
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
OKMK
(Home) 25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0 OKMK
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1 Din. Samarkand
13 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 0 OKMK
08 Aug
Bunyodkor
2 : 3 OKMK
03 Aug
OKMK
1 : 2 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 6
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1 Din. Samarkand
03 Aug
OKMK
1 : 2 Nasaf Qarshi
27 Jul
OKMK
2 : 1 Mashal Muborak
03 May
OKMK
0 : 0 Neftchi Fargona
27 Apr
OKMK
2 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
Page 1 of 3
Termez Surkhon
(Away) 25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0 OKMK
21 Aug
Pakhtakor
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
13 Aug
Termez Surkhon
1 : 3 Sogdiana
07 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 Navbahor Namangan
03 Aug
Kokand 1912
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Pakhtakor
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
03 Aug
Kokand 1912
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
28 Jul
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 0 Termez Surkhon
18 Jul
Andijan
1 : 2 Termez Surkhon
28 Apr
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45:10 | 45 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 31:18 | 40 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31:17 | 37 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 28:20 | 34 |
| 5 | Lok. Tashkent | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 32:26 | 31 |
| 6 | OKMK | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:25 | 29 |
| 7 | Andijan | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29:30 | 26 |
| 9 | Nasaf Qarshi | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20:18 | 25 |
| 10 | Sogdiana | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 32:39 | 24 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 17:26 | 23 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16:26 | 20 |
| 13 | Xorazm Urganch | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 17:28 | 20 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 17:26 | 19 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 20:31 | 19 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 19 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8:34 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
