Sport Picks

Stadium Background

OKMK vs Xorazm Urganch

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan Cup OKMK Sport Majmuasi, Olmaliq
OKMK Logo

OKMK

2 - 1
FT
Xorazm Urganch Logo

Xorazm Urganch

Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Mukimzhonov A.
46'
Sub
Kojic U. In: Sobirzhonov A.
Out: Kojic U.
54'
Sub
Akhmadaliev D. In: Toirov S.
Out: Akhmadaliev D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
OKMK
20%
Draws
10%
Xorazm Urganch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OKMK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • OKMK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • OKMK are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • OKMK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor OKMK, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • OKMK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
OKMK Clean Sheet 20%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OKMK Xorazm Urganch
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Uzbekistan Cup
OKMK vs Xorazm Urganch
2:1
Sep 3, 2026 Super League
OKMK vs Xorazm Urganch
1:0
Mar 6, 2026 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs OKMK
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Super League
OKMK vs Xorazm Urganch
3:1
Apr 13, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs OKMK
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OKMK Compare

Top Goalscorer Haghnazari S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Xorazm Urganch Compare

Top Goalscorer Sultonov U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OKMK 58 / 100
Xorazm Urganch 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OKMK Xorazm Urganch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OKMK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: OKMK scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Xorazm Urganch conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: OKMK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

OKMK VS Xorazm Urganch
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

OKMK

(Home)
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0
OKMK
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1
Din. Samarkand
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Xorazm Urganch

(Away)
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Andijan
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
20 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Lok. Tashkent
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Neftchi Fargona 1
Pakhtakor 0
Bunyodkor 0
Lok. Tashkent 1
Sogdiana 2
Jayxun 0
Andijan 3
Olimpik-Mobiuz 2
OKMK 2
Xorazm Urganch 1
Termez Surkhon 0
PFK Guliston 1
Navbahor Namangan 1
Nasaf Qarshi 0
Gazalkent 2
Kokand 1912 1
Quarter-finals
Neftchi Fargona -
Lok. Tashkent -
Sogdiana -
Andijan -
OKMK -
PFK Guliston -
Navbahor Namangan -
Gazalkent -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -