Sport Picks

Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2016

Nasaf Qarshi II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Oktepa Tashkent play Nasaf Qarshi II in the Pro Liga 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Oktepa Tashkent averaged 0.37 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Nasaf Qarshi II averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Oktepa Tashkent won 2, Nasaf Qarshi II won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 12, 2016 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.72 for Oktepa Tashkent and 0.94 for Nasaf Qarshi II. This points to a Oktepa Tashkent double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Oktepa Tashkent

35%

Draws

32%

Nasaf Qarshi II

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oktepa Tashkent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Oktepa Tashkent picked up more points recently compared to Nasaf Qarshi II.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.72 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 55%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Oktepa Tashkent Clean Sheet 24%

Nasaf Qarshi II Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 50%

Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oktepa Tashkent	Nasaf Qarshi II
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	3	9
Draws	19	4
Losses	8	17
Goals Scored	0.37	1.4
Goals Conceded	0.8	1.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2016 Pro Liga

Oktepa Tashkent vs Nasaf Qarshi II

Possession: 45% - 41% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Jun 5, 2016 Pro Liga

Nasaf Qarshi II vs Oktepa Tashkent

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Oct 17, 2015 Pro Liga

Nasaf Qarshi II vs Oktepa Tashkent

Possession: 55% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

0:5

Sep 4, 2015 Pro Liga

Oktepa Tashkent vs Nasaf Qarshi II

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Oct 20, 2012 Pro Liga

Oktepa Tashkent vs Nasaf Qarshi II

Possession: 59% - 51% Cards: 1 - 0

2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oktepa Tashkent 35 / 100

Nasaf Qarshi II 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oktepa Tashkent Nasaf Qarshi II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Oktepa Tashkent or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Oktepa Tashkent attacking → ← attacking Nasaf Qarshi II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oktepa Tashkent scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Nasaf Qarshi II let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Oktepa Tashkent went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Nasaf Qarshi II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 31

0.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Din. Samarkand	32	26	4	2	86:19	82
2	Norin Haqqulobod	32	24	3	5	63:29	75
3	Sementchi Kuvasoy	32	23	5	4	69:19	74
4	Uz Dong Ju Andijon	32	17	4	11	67:58	55
5	Osiyo Tashkent	32	15	6	11	63:46	51
6	Nasaf Qarshi II	32	15	1	16	61:62	46
7	Xorazm Urganch	32	12	6	14	56:50	42
8	Nurafshon	32	13	2	17	56:61	41
9	Mashal Muborak II	32	11	8	13	46:59	41
10	Aral	32	12	2	18	71:88	38
11	FK Yozyovon	32	11	5	16	58:76	38
12	Zaamin	32	10	6	16	44:59	36
13	Lokomotiv BFK	32	10	5	17	55:66	35
14	Khotira 79	32	10	3	19	51:78	33
15	Gijduvon	32	9	5	18	51:93	32
16	FK Kasansay	32	9	4	19	42:63	31
17	Pakhtakor II	32	7	7	18	49:62	28
18	Oktepa Tashkent	0	0	0	0	0:0	0