Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Okzhetpes vs Zhenis

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Okzhetpes Stadium, Kokshetau
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Elder Santana In: Adilio
Out: Elder Santana
23' Event
Saravanja I.
Own Goal
29'
Marcinho

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Okzhetpes and Zhenis finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Okzhetpes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Okzhetpes
15%
Draws
28%
Zhenis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Okzhetpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Okzhetpes come out ahead of Zhenis on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Okzhetpes's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 68%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okzhetpes Zhenis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.7 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Zhenis
3:1
Apr 29, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Okzhetpes vs Zhenis
2:3
Apr 5, 2026 Premier League
Zhenis vs Okzhetpes
1:1
Jul 25, 2025 Premier League
Zhenis vs Okzhetpes
0:0
Apr 26, 2025 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Zhenis
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Okzhetpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhangylyshbay T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Zhenis Compare

Top Goalscorer Adilio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okzhetpes 86 / 100
Zhenis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okzhetpes Zhenis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Okzhetpes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okzhetpes found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Zhenis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Okzhetpes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Okzhetpes VS Zhenis
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Okzhetpes

(Home)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
13 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1
Okzhetpes
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3
Okzhetpes
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2
Okzhetpes
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Zhenis

(Away)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)