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Olancho vs Olimpia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa
Olancho Logo

Olancho

1 - 1
FT
Olimpia Logo

Olimpia

Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Garcia R.
28'
Romero C.
46'
Sub
Romero C. In: Ramirez Arauz M. R.
Out: Romero C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Olancho
35%
Draws
41%
Olimpia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olimpia lately — more wins on the board than Olancho.
  • Win probability leans Olancho's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Olancho Clean Sheet 17%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olancho Olimpia
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 22
Draws 13 5
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.37 2
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Olimpia
1:1
Mar 18, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Olancho
0:0
Jan 28, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Olimpia
1:1
Dec 4, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Olimpia
2:2
Sep 18, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Olancho
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olancho Compare

Top Goalscorer Bengtson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Olimpia Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olancho 36 / 100
Olimpia 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olancho Olimpia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Olancho scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Olimpia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Olancho went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olancho VS Olimpia
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Olancho

(Home)
04 Nov
Olancho
0 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
02 Nov
Olancho
4 : 1
Platense
24 Oct
Olancho
3 : 3
Estrella
15 Oct
Marathon
2 : 1
Olancho
11 Oct
Olancho
1 : 1
Atletico Independiente
Page 1 of 6

Olimpia

(Away)
01 Nov
CD Choloma
0 : 3
Olimpia
29 Oct
Olimpia
2 : 2
Cartagines
25 Oct
Lobos UPNFM
0 : 1
Olimpia
22 Oct
Cartagines
1 : 0
Olimpia
16 Oct
Olimpia
2 : 1
Real Espana
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 12 9 2 1 26:8 29
2 Real Espana 12 8 3 1 22:10 27
3 Motagua 12 8 1 3 19:9 25
4 Marathon 12 6 4 2 18:11 22
5 Olancho 13 3 8 2 15:12 17
6 Estrella 12 4 4 4 21:22 16
7 Lobos UPNFM 13 4 4 5 15:16 16
8 CD Choloma 12 4 1 7 12:15 13
9 Genesis FC 12 3 2 7 15:16 11
10 Atletico Independiente 12 2 5 5 11:21 11
11 Platense 12 2 2 8 12:29 8
12 Juticalpa 12 2 0 10 11:28 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)