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Olbia vs Trastevere Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G Bruno Nespoli
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olbia play Trastevere Calcio in the Serie D - Group G. It looks like a close match. Recently, Olbia averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Trastevere Calcio averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Olbia won 2, Trastevere Calcio won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Olbia and 1.50 for Trastevere Calcio. This points to a Trastevere Calcio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Olbia
35%
Draws
38%
Trastevere Calcio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trastevere Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Olbia picked up more points recently compared to Trastevere Calcio.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Olbia Clean Sheet 16%
Trastevere Calcio Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olbia Trastevere Calcio
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 16
Draws 12 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Olbia vs Trastevere Calcio
3:2
Dec 6, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Olbia
2:2
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Olbia vs Trastevere Calcio
3:0
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Olbia
0:0
Feb 7, 2016 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Olbia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olbia Compare

Top Goalscorer Saggia S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cabrera L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Trastevere Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Lorusso D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Crescenzo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olbia 28 / 100
Trastevere Calcio 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olbia Trastevere Calcio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Trastevere Calcio or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Olbia attacking → ← attacking Trastevere Calcio

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olbia scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Trastevere Calcio let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Olbia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Trastevere Calcio lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 55
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Scafatese34276175:2387
2Trastevere Calcio34179864:4660
3Monastir341581151:4453
4Flaminia341312953:3751
5Albalonga341481255:5550
6Latte Dolce341461449:4948
7Valmontone341461449:5048
8Nocerina341114936:3347
9Sarrabus Ogliastra3412101247:5146
10Budoni Calcio341291333:3245
11Palmese 19143411121141:4345
12Atl. Lodigiani3411111243:4044
13Ischia341271536:5243
14Anzio Calcio 19243410111338:4341
15Real Monterotondo341061839:5836
16Olbia348141239:5036
17Montespaccato346121647:5830
18Cassino34492124:5521