Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olginatese vs Castellanzese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Mazzola L.
80' Event
Momente M.
85' Event
Chessa M.

AI Match Summary

Castellanzese in this Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castellanzese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Olginatese
20%
Draws
34%
Castellanzese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olginatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Castellanzese lately — more wins on the board than Olginatese.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 20%
Castellanzese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olginatese Castellanzese
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 5 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Castellanzese
1:2
Oct 10, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Castellanzese vs Olginatese
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olginatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Momente M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Castellanzese Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazzola L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chessa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olginatese 32 / 100
Castellanzese 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olginatese Castellanzese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olginatese's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Castellanzese let in goals in 73% of their last 37 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Olginatese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Castellanzese
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Olginatese

(Home)
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2
Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2
Franciacorta
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Castellanzese

(Away)
20 Sept
Solbiatese
1 : 4
Castellanzese
16 Sept
Castellanzese
0 : 1
Oltrepo
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0
Castellanzese
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1
US Pontedera
10 May
Castellanzese
1 : 2
Varesina
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sangiuliano City 38 25 7 6 81:39 82
2 Legnano 38 19 9 10 49:44 66
3 USD Casatese 38 17 13 8 70:44 64
4 Brusaporto 38 18 10 10 62:49 64
5 Folgore Caratese 38 18 9 11 57:46 63
6 Desenzano Calvina 38 17 12 9 65:49 63
7 Breno 38 16 10 12 56:43 58
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 15 13 10 66:56 58
9 Arconatese 38 15 12 11 62:58 57
10 Franciacorta 38 13 13 12 73:80 52
11 Crema 38 12 10 16 44:52 46
12 Castellanzese 38 12 10 16 50:55 46
13 Sona 38 11 12 15 43:56 45
14 Ponte San Pietro 38 10 14 14 54:56 44
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:39 44
16 Villa Valle 38 9 12 17 49:56 39
17 Caravaggio 38 7 16 15 41:62 37
18 Vis Nova Giussano 38 10 5 23 56:77 35
19 Olginatese 38 8 11 19 43:60 35
20 AC Leon 38 8 9 21 50:88 33
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Out)