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Olimp Comrat vs FCM Ungheni

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
Sat, Apr 4, 2026
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olimp Comrat host FCM Ungheni in the Liga 1 2025/2026. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. FCM Ungheni have shipped 1.87 goals a game lately, while Olimp Comrat have conceded 3.23 and scored 1.2. Head-to-head, Olimp Comrat have won 4 to FCM Ungheni's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 2, 2026, ending 9:0. xG projections (2.05 - 3.52) back FCM Ungheni to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Olimp Comrat
20%
Draws
57%
FCM Ungheni
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FCM Ungheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • FCM Ungheni have won more games recently than Olimp Comrat.
  • Win probability leans FCM Ungheni's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • History favors Olimp Comrat here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Olimp Comrat Clean Sheet 10%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimp Comrat FCM Ungheni
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 1.2 2.77
Goals Conceded 3.23 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.05 3.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Moldovan Cup
FCM Ungheni vs Olimp Comrat
9:0
Apr 4, 2026 Liga 1
Olimp Comrat vs FCM Ungheni
3:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Olimp Comrat
2:4
Dec 7, 2024 Liga 1
Olimp Comrat vs FCM Ungheni
4:1
Oct 26, 2024 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Olimp Comrat
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimp Comrat 10 / 100
FCM Ungheni 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimp Comrat FCM Ungheni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Ungheni Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FCM Ungheni has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Olimp Comrat scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Olimp Comrat remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Olimp Comrat VS FCM Ungheni
1.6 Goals Scored 3.25
3.8 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
80% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimp Comrat

(Home)
02 Sept
FCM Ungheni
9 : 0
Olimp Comrat
24 Apr
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
2 : 2
Olimp Comrat
18 Apr
Olimp Comrat
3 : 4
Victoria
11 Apr
Falesti
4 : 0
Olimp Comrat
04 Apr
Olimp Comrat
3 : 0
FCM Ungheni
Page 1 of 6

FCM Ungheni

(Away)
18 Sept
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
FCM Ungheni
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
05 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
3 : 4
FCM Ungheni
02 Sept
FCM Ungheni
9 : 0
Olimp Comrat
28 Aug
FCM Ungheni
2 : 3
Iskra Ribnita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FCM Ungheni 7 5 0 2 24:13 15
2 Falesti 7 4 1 2 12:8 13
3 Univer Comrat 7 3 2 2 11:12 11
4 Oguzsport 7 2 3 2 7:8 9
5 Zimbru Chisinau 2 7 3 0 4 11:10 9
6 Victoria 7 2 2 3 10:15 8
7 Olimp Comrat 7 2 2 3 12:15 8
8 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 7 1 2 4 6:12 5
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)