Sport Picks
Olimpia Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb, Asunción 
Match Events
33'
33'
Rojas R.
54'
54'
Sub
Campuzano A. In: Sanabria L.
Out: Campuzano A.
55'
55'
Sub
Melgarejo L. In: Ramirez I.
Out: Melgarejo L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Libertad Asuncion advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Olimpia Asuncion come out ahead of Libertad Asuncion on wins alone.
- Model gives Olimpia Asuncion a 60% chance of winning this.
- Olimpia Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Libertad Asuncion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Libertad Asuncion Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olimpia Asuncion | Libertad Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 28 |
| Wins | 21 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion
3:2
Feb 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olimpia Asuncion Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Libertad Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Villalba R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olimpia Asuncion 68 / 100
Libertad Asuncion 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olimpia Asuncion Libertad Asuncion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick OLI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Olimpia Asuncion found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).
Libertad Asuncion let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Olimpia Asuncion has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Olimpia Asuncion VS Libertad Asuncion
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Olimpia Asuncion
(Home) 26 Jul
Olimpia Asuncion
0 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
17 Jul
Flamengo RJ
4 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
27 May
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 1 A. Italiano
23 May
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
20 May
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 1 Vasco
Page 1 of 7
26 Jul
Olimpia Asuncion
0 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
27 May
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 1 A. Italiano
20 May
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 1 Vasco
15 May
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 2 Recoleta
03 May
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 4
Libertad Asuncion
(Away) 26 Jul
Olimpia Asuncion
0 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
27 May
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Universidad Central
24 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
20 May
Independiente del Valle
4 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
14 May
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 0 2 de Mayo
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Olimpia Asuncion
0 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
24 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
20 May
Independiente del Valle
4 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
10 May
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 3 Libertad Asuncion
05 May
Rosario Central
1 : 0 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sp. Luqueno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Sportivo Trinidense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 | Recoleta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Cerro Porteno | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 10 | Guarani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 | Olimpia Asuncion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 12 | Rubio Nu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
