Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski

Olimpia Elblag

1 - 3

Suwalki

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Swiety L.

34'

Guzdek B.

43'

Kwiatkowski J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Suwalki in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suwalki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Olimpia Elblag

28%

Draws

50%

Suwalki

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Suwalki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Suwalki have won more games recently than Olimpia Elblag.
Suwalki are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 12%

Suwalki Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Olimpia Elblag	Suwalki
Matches Played	36	31
Wins	15	18
Draws	8	5
Losses	13	8
Goals Scored	1	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.75	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group I

Olimpia Elblag vs Suwalki

Possession: 56% - 52% Cards: 3 - 0

1:3

Oct 25, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Suwalki vs Olimpia Elblag

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 2 - 0

4:1

Apr 15, 2023 Division 2

Olimpia Elblag vs Suwalki

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 4 - 4

0:0

Sep 10, 2022 Division 2

Suwalki vs Olimpia Elblag

Possession: 41% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Dec 4, 2021 Division 2

Olimpia Elblag vs Suwalki

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Elblag Compare

Top Goalscorer Mlynarczyk M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Suwalki Compare

Top Goalscorer Swiety L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Guzdek B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Elblag 22 / 100

Suwalki 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Olimpia Elblag Suwalki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia Elblag scored in 81% of their last 36 games.

Suwalki has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Olimpia Elblag remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Elblag VS Suwalki

1 Goals Scored 1.75

1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15