Sport Picks
Olimpia Elblag vs Suwalki
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski, Elblag 
Match Events
18'
18'
Swiety L.
34'
34'
Guzdek B.
43'
43'
Kwiatkowski J.
AI Match Summary
Suwalki in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suwalki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Suwalki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Suwalki have won more games recently than Olimpia Elblag.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 14%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olimpia Elblag | Suwalki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Suwalki
1:3
May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Suwalki
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Olimpia Elblag
4:1
Apr 15, 2023 Division 2
Olimpia Elblag vs Suwalki
0:0
Sep 10, 2022 Division 2
Suwalki vs Olimpia Elblag
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olimpia Elblag Compare
Top Goalscorer Mlynarczyk M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Suwalki Compare
Top Goalscorer Swiety L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Guzdek B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olimpia Elblag 31 / 100
Suwalki 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olimpia Elblag Suwalki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Suwalki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Olimpia Elblag scored in 78% of their last 32 games.
Suwalki has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Olimpia Elblag remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Olimpia Elblag VS Suwalki
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Olimpia Elblag
(Home) 19 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0 Pelikan
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
29 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 3 Suwalki
22 Aug
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0 Pelikan
29 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 3 Suwalki
19 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
0 : 2 Widzew Lodz II
07 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
4 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
31 Jul
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Plock II
Page 1 of 3
Suwalki
(Away) 20 Sept
Suwalki
6 : 3 Widzew Lodz II
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1 Suwalki
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3 Lidzbark Warmimski
01 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 5 Termalica Bruk-Bet
29 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 3 Suwalki
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1 Suwalki
29 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 3 Suwalki
19 Aug
Zabkovia Zabki
1 : 1 Suwalki
07 Aug
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Suwalki
17 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia II | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 82:29 | 84 |
| 2 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 77:31 | 71 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 64:34 | 71 |
| 4 | Suwalki | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 64:43 | 65 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 75:47 | 57 |
| 6 | Plock II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56:51 | 56 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz II | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 70:64 | 54 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 64:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Zabkovia Zabki | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 72:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 51:66 | 41 |
| 12 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 55:59 | 40 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 45:61 | 38 |
| 14 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:57 | 36 |
| 16 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | Wasilkow | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:79 | 25 |
| 18 | Znicz Biala Piska | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 27:103 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
