Sport Picks
Olimpia Elblag vs Zabkovia Zabki
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski, Elblag 
Match Events
21'
21'
Kordykiewicz O.
35'
35'
Sarnowski L.
56'
56'
Pierzchalski K.
AI Match Summary
Olimpia Elblag in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olimpia Elblag.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Olimpia Elblag have won more games recently than Zabkovia Zabki.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Olimpia Elblag here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 17%
Zabkovia Zabki Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olimpia Elblag | Zabkovia Zabki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Zabkovia Zabki
3:1
Aug 15, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Zabkovia Zabki vs Olimpia Elblag
2:3
May 20, 2012 Division 1
Olimpia Elblag vs Zabkovia Zabki
4:1
Oct 22, 2011 Division 1
Zabkovia Zabki vs Olimpia Elblag
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olimpia Elblag Compare
Top Goalscorer Kordykiewicz O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sarnowski L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Zabkovia Zabki Compare
Top Goalscorer Pierzchalski K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olimpia Elblag 30 / 100
Zabkovia Zabki 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olimpia Elblag Zabkovia Zabki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick OLI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zabkovia Zabki has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.
Olimpia Elblag scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Olimpia Elblag went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Olimpia Elblag VS Zabkovia Zabki
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Olimpia Elblag
(Home) 25 Jul
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
18 Jul
Wda Swiecie
1 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
15 Jul
Lidzbark Warmimski
0 : 2 Olimpia Elblag
11 Jul
Olimpia Elblag
4 : 0 Gedania Gdansk
07 Jul
Chojniczanka
2 : 0 Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Olimpia Elblag
4 : 0 Gedania Gdansk
23 May
Olimpia Elblag
2 : 3 Znicz Biala Piska
13 May
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 3 Suwalki
25 Apr
Olimpia Elblag
0 : 2 MKS Mlawa
12 Apr
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Legia II
Page 1 of 3
Zabkovia Zabki
(Away) 24 Jul
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 1 Zabkovia Zabki
30 May
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 1 Zabkovia Zabki
23 May
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2 GKS Wikielec
16 May
Znicz Biala Piska
2 : 6 Zabkovia Zabki
13 May
Zabkovia Zabki
0 : 0 Bron Radom
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 1 Zabkovia Zabki
30 May
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 1 Zabkovia Zabki
16 May
Znicz Biala Piska
2 : 6 Zabkovia Zabki
09 May
Legia II
2 : 0 Zabkovia Zabki
25 Apr
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2 : 1 Zabkovia Zabki
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia II | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 82:29 | 84 |
| 2 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 77:31 | 71 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 64:34 | 71 |
| 4 | Suwalki | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 64:43 | 65 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 75:47 | 57 |
| 6 | Plock II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56:51 | 56 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz II | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 70:64 | 54 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 64:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Zabkovia Zabki | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 72:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 51:66 | 41 |
| 12 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 55:59 | 40 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 45:61 | 38 |
| 14 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:57 | 36 |
| 16 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | Wasilkow | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:79 | 25 |
| 18 | Znicz Biala Piska | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 27:103 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
