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Olimpia vs Juticalpa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles, Tegucigalpa
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AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Olimpia and Juticalpa finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olimpia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Olimpia
15%
Draws
20%
Juticalpa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Juticalpa haven't matched Olimpia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Olimpia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Olimpia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 20%
Juticalpa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Juticalpa
Matches Played 37 28
Wins 25 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 2.03 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.84 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Juticalpa
8:0
Aug 9, 2026 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Olimpia
1:3
Mar 23, 2026 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Olimpia
1:6
Feb 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Juticalpa
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Olimpia
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia 85 / 100
Juticalpa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Juticalpa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Juticalpa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Olimpia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia VS Juticalpa
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia

(Home)
01 Nov
CD Choloma
0 : 3
Olimpia
29 Oct
Olimpia
2 : 2
Cartagines
25 Oct
Lobos UPNFM
0 : 1
Olimpia
22 Oct
Cartagines
1 : 0
Olimpia
16 Oct
Olimpia
2 : 1
Real Espana
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Juticalpa

(Away)
31 Oct
Real Espana
3 : 1
Juticalpa
25 Oct
Motagua
2 : 0
Juticalpa
17 Oct
Juticalpa
1 : 2
CD Choloma
09 Oct
Platense
2 : 1
Juticalpa
21 Sept
Juticalpa
3 : 2
Marathon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 12 9 2 1 26:8 29
2 Real Espana 12 8 3 1 22:10 27
3 Motagua 12 8 1 3 19:9 25
4 Marathon 12 6 4 2 18:11 22
5 Olancho 13 3 8 2 15:12 17
6 Estrella 12 4 4 4 21:22 16
7 Lobos UPNFM 13 4 4 5 15:16 16
8 CD Choloma 12 4 1 7 12:15 13
9 Genesis FC 12 3 2 7 15:16 11
10 Atletico Independiente 12 2 5 5 11:21 11
11 Platense 12 2 2 8 12:29 8
12 Juticalpa 12 2 0 10 11:28 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)