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Olimpia vs Olancho - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles, Tegucigalpa
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
01:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olimpia host Olancho in the Liga Nacional. This one's hard to separate. Olancho have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Olimpia have conceded 0.84 and scored 2.03. Head-to-head, Olimpia have won 0 to Olancho's 0, with 5 draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 0.81) point toward Olimpia. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Olimpia
35%
Draws
24%
Olancho
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Olimpia have won more games recently than Olancho.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 20%
Olancho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Olancho
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 25 12
Draws 6 12
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.03 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.84 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Olimpia
1:1
Mar 18, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Olancho
0:0
Jan 28, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Olimpia
1:1
Dec 4, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Olimpia
2:2
Sep 18, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Olancho
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia 31 / 100
Olancho 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Olancho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Olancho has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Olimpia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia VS Olancho
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia

(Home)
01 Nov
CD Choloma
0 : 3
Olimpia
29 Oct
Olimpia
2 : 2
Cartagines
25 Oct
Lobos UPNFM
0 : 1
Olimpia
22 Oct
Cartagines
1 : 0
Olimpia
16 Oct
Olimpia
2 : 1
Real Espana
Page 1 of 8

Olancho

(Away)
02 Nov
Olancho
4 : 1
Platense
24 Oct
Olancho
3 : 3
Estrella
15 Oct
Marathon
2 : 1
Olancho
11 Oct
Olancho
1 : 1
Atletico Independiente
19 Sept
Genesis FC
0 : 0
Olancho
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 12 9 2 1 26:8 29
2 Real Espana 12 8 3 1 22:10 27
3 Motagua 12 8 1 3 19:9 25
4 Marathon 12 6 4 2 18:11 22
5 Olancho 12 3 7 2 15:12 16
6 Estrella 12 4 4 4 21:22 16
7 Lobos UPNFM 12 4 3 5 15:16 15
8 CD Choloma 12 4 1 7 12:15 13
9 Genesis FC 12 3 2 7 15:16 11
10 Atletico Independiente 12 2 5 5 11:21 11
11 Platense 12 2 2 8 12:29 8
12 Juticalpa 12 2 0 10 11:28 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)