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Olimpia vs Platense

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles, Tegucigalpa
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Benguche J.
19' Event
Urbina E.
25'
Sub
Benguche J. In: Arboleda Y.
Out: Benguche J.

AI Match Summary

Olimpia in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olimpia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Olimpia
20%
Draws
23%
Platense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olimpia lately — more wins on the board than Platense.
  • Model gives Olimpia a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Olimpia have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 20%
Platense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Platense
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 22 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.06 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Platense
4:1
May 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Platense
4:0
Mar 13, 2026 Liga Nacional
Platense vs Olimpia
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Nacional
Platense vs Olimpia
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Platense
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Compare

Top Goalscorer Arboleda Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Benguche J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Platense Compare

Top Goalscorer Urbina E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia 85 / 100
Platense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Platense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Platense has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Olimpia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia VS Platense
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia

(Home)
18 Sept
Olimpia
3 : 0
Luis Angel Firpo
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
11 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 3
Olimpia
04 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 1
Platense
30 Aug
Estrella
2 : 2
Olimpia
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Platense

(Away)
18 Sept
Platense
0 : 2
Lobos UPNFM
12 Sept
Estrella
2 : 2
Platense
04 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 1
Platense
29 Aug
Platense
2 : 1
Atletico Independiente
23 Aug
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Platense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marathon 7 5 2 0 12:3 17
2 Real Espana 7 4 3 0 12:4 15
3 Olimpia 7 4 2 1 15:7 14
4 Motagua 7 4 1 2 11:7 13
5 Genesis FC 7 3 1 3 10:6 10
6 Olancho 7 2 4 1 6:5 10
7 Atletico Independiente 7 2 3 2 7:7 9
8 Estrella 8 2 3 3 13:16 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
10 CD Choloma 8 2 1 5 6:8 7
11 Platense 8 1 2 5 6:18 5
12 Juticalpa 7 1 0 6 5:17 3
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)