Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2023/2024

GKS Belchatow

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Olimpia Zambrow play GKS Belchatow in the III Liga - Group I 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Olimpia Zambrow averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. GKS Belchatow averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Olimpia Zambrow won 0, GKS Belchatow won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 1, 2024 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Olimpia Zambrow and 1.36 for GKS Belchatow. This points to a GKS Belchatow double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Olimpia Zambrow

30%

Draws

37%

GKS Belchatow

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GKS Belchatow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Olimpia Zambrow picked up more points recently compared to GKS Belchatow.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.36 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Olimpia Zambrow Clean Sheet 18%

GKS Belchatow Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Olimpia Zambrow	GKS Belchatow
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	7	8
Draws	7	6
Losses	16	17
Goals Scored	1.37	1.39
Goals Conceded	1.97	1.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2024 III Liga - Group I

Olimpia Zambrow vs GKS Belchatow

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 0 - 3

2:2

Nov 12, 2023 III Liga - Group I

GKS Belchatow vs Olimpia Zambrow

Possession: 45% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Nov 19, 2016 Division 2

Olimpia Zambrow vs GKS Belchatow

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Jul 30, 2016 Division 2

GKS Belchatow vs Olimpia Zambrow

Possession: 50% - 54% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Zambrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Jastrzebski P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

GKS Belchatow Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartosiak B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Zambrow 33 / 100

GKS Belchatow 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Olimpia Zambrow GKS Belchatow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: GKS Belchatow or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Olimpia Zambrow attacking → ← attacking GKS Belchatow

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia Zambrow scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

GKS Belchatow let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Olimpia Zambrow went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

GKS Belchatow lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 30

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	34	23	7	4	106:32	76
2	Unia Skierniewice	34	19	8	7	78:46	65
3	Legia II	34	19	8	7	70:40	65
4	Swit Mazowiecki	34	15	11	8	70:52	56
5	GKS Belchatow	34	16	8	10	58:49	56
6	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	15	8	11	66:54	53
7	Pelikan	34	15	7	12	52:40	52
8	LKS Lomza	34	14	6	14	52:51	48
9	Bron Radom	34	12	12	10	39:43	48
10	Warta Sieradz	34	13	5	16	43:48	44
11	GKS Wikielec	34	11	10	13	37:46	43
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	9	14	43:50	42
13	Jagiellonia II	34	12	6	16	48:58	42
14	Victoria Sulejowek	34	11	8	15	41:48	41
15	Olimpia Zambrow	34	10	10	14	52:48	40
16	Concordia Elblag	34	8	6	20	37:98	30
17	Legionowo	34	7	6	21	41:71	27
18	Pilica Bialobrzegi	34	4	7	23	30:89	19