Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2022/2023

Olimpia Zambrow

2 - 0

Ursus Warszawa

Our Tip

Match Events

51'

Bykowski M.

74'

Zalewski K.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Olimpia Zambrow in this III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olimpia Zambrow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Olimpia Zambrow

Draws

90%

Ursus Warszawa

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ursus Warszawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Olimpia Zambrow have won more games recently than Ursus Warszawa.
Model gives Ursus Warszawa a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Olimpia Zambrow Clean Sheet 16%

Ursus Warszawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Olimpia Zambrow	Ursus Warszawa
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	8	5
Draws	6	6
Losses	17	19
Goals Scored	1.75	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.25	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2023 III Liga - Group I

Olimpia Zambrow vs Ursus Warszawa

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 4 - 0

2:0

Sep 17, 2022 III Liga - Group I

Ursus Warszawa vs Olimpia Zambrow

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 4 - 3

3:3

May 8, 2021 III Liga - Group I

Olimpia Zambrow vs Ursus Warszawa

Possession: 47% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

2:4

Nov 25, 2020 III Liga - Group I

Ursus Warszawa vs Olimpia Zambrow

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Apr 18, 2020 III Liga - Group I

Olimpia Zambrow vs Ursus Warszawa

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Zambrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Bykowski M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Ursus Warszawa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Zambrow 10 / 100

Ursus Warszawa 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Olimpia Zambrow Ursus Warszawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick URS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ursus Warszawa conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Olimpia Zambrow scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Olimpia Zambrow went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Zambrow VS Ursus Warszawa

1.75 Goals Scored 1.75

1.25 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	LKS Lodz II	34	20	8	6	76:41	68
2	Legionowo	34	18	10	6	71:43	64
3	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	34	18	10	6	62:39	64
4	Swit Mazowiecki	34	18	7	9	66:45	61
5	Legia II	34	15	10	9	66:48	55
6	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	15	10	9	51:43	55
7	Unia Skierniewice	34	15	8	11	41:38	53
8	MKS Mlawa	34	15	7	12	83:71	52
9	Jagiellonia II	34	13	10	11	65:54	49
10	Pilica Bialobrzegi	34	12	9	13	53:55	45
11	Pelikan	34	12	9	13	56:52	45
12	Sokol Ostroda	34	10	6	18	49:71	36
13	Olimpia Zambrow	34	9	9	16	40:63	36
14	Bron Radom	34	9	8	17	60:76	35
15	Warta Sieradz	34	8	10	16	39:53	34
16	Concordia Elblag	34	8	9	17	38:61	33
17	Blonianka Blonie	34	8	6	20	35:68	30
18	Ursus Warszawa	34	5	10	19	42:72	25