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Olimps Riga vs FC Jurmala

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Virslīga 2011
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Match Events

45' Event
76' Event
88' Event

AI Match Summary

The Virslīga 2011 game between Olimps Riga and FC Jurmala finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Jurmala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Olimps Riga
39%
Draws
31%
FC Jurmala
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Jurmala come out ahead of Olimps Riga on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Olimps Riga Clean Sheet 20%
FC Jurmala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimps Riga FC Jurmala
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 1 4
Draws 3 5
Losses 26 24
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2011 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Olimps Riga
6:1
Sep 10, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs FC Jurmala
1:2
Jul 6, 2011 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Olimps Riga
4:0
May 8, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs FC Jurmala
2:2
Nov 4, 2006 Nakotnes liga
FC Jurmala vs Olimps Riga
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimps Riga 31 / 100
FC Jurmala 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimps Riga FC Jurmala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Jurmala has conceded goals in 94% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: FC Jurmala registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Olimps Riga scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Jurmala
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 3.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimps Riga

(Home)
13 Nov
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
Olimps Riga
10 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
05 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
30 Oct
FC Jurmala
6 : 1
Olimps Riga
15 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
4 : 0
Olimps Riga
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FC Jurmala

(Away)
08 Nov
BFC Daugavpils
4 : 2
FC Jurmala
01 Nov
FC Jurmala
1 : 7
Skonto
25 Oct
Jelgava
2 : 1
FC Jurmala
18 Oct
FC Jurmala
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
04 Oct
FK Liepaja
6 : 0
FC Jurmala
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Liepaja32224672:2670
2Ventspils32216573:2069
3FC Daugava Daugavpils32197659:2864
4Skonto32179662:2160
5FC Jurmala321281245:4244
6Jelgava321341547:5443
7Gulbene32771839:6728
8FK Daugava Riga32562134:7521
9Olimps Riga32132819:1176
Relegation - Virslīga 2011 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)