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Olinda FC vs Cha Grande

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Olinda FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Olinda FC
6%
Draws
4%
Cha Grande
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Olinda FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cha Grande haven't matched Olinda FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Olinda FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Olinda FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cha Grande, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Olinda FC Clean Sheet 20%
Cha Grande Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olinda FC Cha Grande
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Cha Grande vs Olinda FC
1:0
Oct 21, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Olinda FC vs Cha Grande
1:0
Sep 26, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Cha Grande vs Olinda FC
2:1
Aug 1, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Olinda FC vs Cha Grande
1:4
Jul 31, 2011 Pernambucano 2
Cha Grande vs Olinda FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olinda FC 85 / 100
Cha Grande 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olinda FC Cha Grande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olinda FC scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Cha Grande has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: Cha Grande has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cha Grande
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Olinda FC

(Home)
18 Oct
Ipojuca
1 : 2
Olinda FC
14 Oct
Olinda FC
2 : 3
Academica Vitoria
11 Oct
Barreiros FC
1 : 0
Olinda FC
07 Oct
Olinda FC
2 : 1
Barreiros FC
04 Oct
Academica Vitoria
1 : 0
Olinda FC
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Cha Grande

(Away)
02 Nov
Cha Grande
0 : 3
Belo Jardim
27 Oct
America PE
4 : 0
Cha Grande
19 Oct
Cha Grande
1 : 1
Sete de Setembro (PE)
13 Oct
Caruaru
3 : 2
Cha Grande
09 Oct
Cha Grande
0 : 1
Pesqueira
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Cha Grande1
Olinda FC1
Cabense0
Pesqueira1
Final
Cha Grande1
Pesqueira1