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Olmedo vs CSCD Grecia

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Serie B 2013
Olmedo Logo

Olmedo

4 - 1
FT
CSCD Grecia Logo

CSCD Grecia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Olmedo play CSCD Grecia in the Serie B 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Olmedo averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. CSCD Grecia averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Olmedo won 4, CSCD Grecia won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 17, 2013 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Olmedo and 1.13 for CSCD Grecia. This points to a Olmedo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Olmedo
19%
Draws
34%
CSCD Grecia
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Olmedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Olmedo picked up more points recently compared to CSCD Grecia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Olmedo Clean Sheet 21%
CSCD Grecia Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olmedo CSCD Grecia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.09 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2013 Serie B
Olmedo vs CSCD Grecia
4:1
Jul 20, 2013 Serie B
CSCD Grecia vs Olmedo
2:3
May 11, 2013 Serie B
CSCD Grecia vs Olmedo
2:3
Apr 20, 2013 Serie B
Olmedo vs CSCD Grecia
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olmedo 47 / 100
CSCD Grecia 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olmedo CSCD Grecia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Olmedo or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Olmedo attacking → ← attacking CSCD Grecia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olmedo scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

CSCD Grecia let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Olmedo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CSCD Grecia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 33
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Olmedo442951076:4392
2Mushuc Runa442491152:4481
3Imbabura4421111263:4774
4Aucas442161769:5369
5Guayaquil City4418141257:4368
6Tecnico U.4417141360:5365
7Deportivo Municipal441682048:6056
8Espoli4413102144:5549
9Univ. Cotopaxi441392248:5748
10Dep. Azogues4411132049:7046
11CSCD Grecia4411122144:6445
12Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios448132347:6837