Sport Picks

Stadium Background

OLS Oulu vs TPV

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Raatin stadion, Oulu
OLS Oulu Logo

OLS Oulu

4 - 2
FT
TPV Logo

TPV

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Akbal M.
21' Event
Akbal M.
44' Event
Merikanto E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

OLS Oulu in this Ykkonen matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored OLS Oulu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
OLS Oulu
35%
Draws
23%
TPV
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: OLS Oulu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • OLS Oulu have won more games recently than TPV.
  • Win probability leans OLS Oulu's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
OLS Oulu Clean Sheet 10%
TPV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OLS Oulu TPV
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.21 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Ykkonen
OLS Oulu vs TPV
4:2
May 16, 2026 Ykkonen
TPV vs OLS Oulu
2:2
Sep 23, 2018 Kakkonen Group C
OLS Oulu vs TPV
0:3
Jun 26, 2018 Kakkonen Group C
TPV vs OLS Oulu
2:2
Oct 5, 2002 Kakkonen Promotion Play Offs
OLS Oulu vs TPV
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OLS Oulu Compare

Top Goalscorer Merikanto E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Raittinen E.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

TPV Compare

Top Goalscorer Akbal M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OLS Oulu 47 / 100
TPV 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OLS Oulu TPV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLS Oulu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: OLS Oulu scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

TPV has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

OLS Oulu went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

OLS Oulu VS TPV
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

OLS Oulu

(Home)
15 Aug
OLS Oulu
3 : 3
RoPS Rovaniemi
09 Aug
Jazz Pori
1 : 1
OLS Oulu
05 Aug
OLS Oulu
4 : 2
TPV
26 Jul
OLS Oulu
2 : 1
KPV Kokkola
18 Jul
Keski-Uusimaa
1 : 1
OLS Oulu
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TPV

(Away)
15 Aug
Tampere Utd
1 : 1
TPV
11 Aug
TPV
1 : 1
SalPa
05 Aug
OLS Oulu
4 : 2
TPV
01 Aug
TPV
6 : 3
RoPS Rovaniemi
24 Jul
Jazz Pori
4 : 0
TPV
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 20 12 5 3 42:16 41
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 20 10 7 3 45:28 37
3 Keski-Uusimaa 21 8 8 5 38:30 32
4 OLS Oulu 20 8 7 5 40:30 31
5 VJS 20 7 9 4 37:28 30
6 SalPa 20 8 6 6 34:33 30
7 JJK Jyvaskyla 21 7 7 7 47:41 28
8 Jazz Pori 20 8 5 7 29:28 26
9 TPV 20 5 6 9 29:38 21
10 FC Inter Turku 2 20 5 5 10 32:48 20
11 KuPS Akatemia 21 3 6 12 36:48 15
12 KPV Kokkola 21 4 3 14 23:64 15
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen (Relegation Group)