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Olympia Warriors vs South East United

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South East United in this Tasmania Southern Championship 2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored South East United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Olympia Warriors
28%
Draws
22%
South East United
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Olympia Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olympia Warriors lately — more wins on the board than South East United.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Olympia Warriors taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Southern Championship 2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and South East United have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Olympia Warriors Clean Sheet 19%
South East United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympia Warriors South East United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 1 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 2.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
South East United vs Olympia Warriors
5:2
Mar 14, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Olympia Warriors vs South East United
1:7
Aug 10, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
South East United vs Olympia Warriors
10:1
May 31, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
Olympia Warriors vs South East United
1:3
Jul 1, 2023 Tasmania Southern Championship
Olympia Warriors vs South East United
5:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympia Warriors 49 / 100
South East United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympia Warriors South East United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympia Warriors's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 8.60 goals per match.

South East United has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Olympia Warriors has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olympia Warriors VS South East United
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympia Warriors

(Home)
18 Jul
Taroona
3 : 2
Olympia Warriors
11 Jul
Glenorchy Knights U21
0 : 3
Olympia Warriors
04 Jul
New Town Eagles
0 : 0
Olympia Warriors
26 Jun
Olympia Warriors
4 : 2
University of Tasmania
19 Jun
Olympia Warriors
2 : 1
South Hobart U21
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South East United

(Away)
19 Jul
South East United
4 : 1
Launceston United
11 Jul
Devonport
2 : 0
South East United
05 Jul
South East United
1 : 0
South Hobart
28 Jun
Launceston City
1 : 0
South East United
20 Jun
South East United
1 : 0
Glenorchy Knights
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Town Eagles16113262:2136
2South East United16101573:5331
3South Hobart U211692548:4229
4Olympia Warriors1682641:3626
5University of Tasmania1681750:4125
6Taroona1673643:3724
7Hobart United1663727:3321
8Metro Claremont16311234:7310
9Hobart City16121319:615
Promotion - Tasmania Southern Championship 2023 (Play Offs)