Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olympic Star vs Aigle Noir

Burundi Burundi

Primus League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primus League 2025/2026 game between Olympic Star and Aigle Noir finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Olympic Star
30%
Draws
23%
Aigle Noir
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olympic Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aigle Noir come out ahead of Olympic Star on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Olympic Star's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Olympic Star Clean Sheet 20%
Aigle Noir Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympic Star Aigle Noir
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.21 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.16 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Olympic Star
3:1
Mar 12, 2026 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Aigle Noir
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Olympic Star
1:0
Feb 9, 2025 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Aigle Noir
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Olympic Star
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympic Star 85 / 100
Aigle Noir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympic Star Aigle Noir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympic Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympic Star scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Aigle Noir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Olympic Star remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Olympic Star VS Aigle Noir
1.43 Goals Scored 1.38
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Olympic Star

(Home)
20 Sept
Olympic Star
3 : 1
Bumamuru
30 Aug
Rukinzo
0 : 0
Olympic Star
23 Aug
Olympic Star
0 : 0
Royal Vision
16 Aug
Aigle Noir
3 : 1
Olympic Star
09 May
Olympic Star
4 : 0
Ngozi City
Page 1 of 6

Aigle Noir

(Away)
17 Sept
Vital'O
3 : 2
Aigle Noir
12 Sept
Al-Hilal Omdurman
1 : 0
Aigle Noir
05 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
30 Aug
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Young Star
23 Aug
Flambeau du Centre
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aigle Noir 30 21 8 1 62:25 71
2 Musongati 30 17 8 5 42:21 59
3 Flambeau du Centre 30 16 8 6 42:23 56
4 Royal Vision 30 17 2 11 47:31 53
5 Rukinzo 30 14 8 8 49:28 50
6 Vital'O 30 14 8 8 45:27 50
7 Bumamuru 30 14 7 9 47:33 49
8 Muzinga 30 11 10 9 37:38 43
9 Olympic Star 30 10 9 11 36:35 39
10 Kayanza United 30 8 12 10 40:45 36
11 Le Messager Ngozi 30 8 9 13 31:33 33
12 Ngozi City 30 8 9 13 37:43 33
13 Inter Star 30 8 8 14 37:42 32
14 Dynamik 30 8 5 17 35:58 29
15 Garage Express 30 3 9 18 15:61 18
16 Green Farmers 30 1 4 25 25:84 7
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)