Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oman U23 vs Iraq U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Qabeel M.
65'
Mokhalad A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Oman U23
30%
Draws
23%
Iraq U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oman U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Oman U23 haven't matched Iraq U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Oman U23 a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Iraq U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Iraq U23, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Iraq U23 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Oman U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Iraq U23 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oman U23 Iraq U23
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 12 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.49
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2025 Arabian Gulf Cup U23
Oman U23 vs Iraq U23
0:2
Sep 6, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23
Oman U23 vs Iraq U23
0:1
Aug 31, 2023 Friendly International
Iraq U23 vs Oman U23
1:2
Jun 18, 2023 WAFF Championship U23
Iraq U23 vs Oman U23
1:0
Mar 28, 2023 Friendly International
Iraq U23 vs Oman U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oman U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Iraq U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Qabeel M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oman U23 77 / 100
Iraq U23 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oman U23 Iraq U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oman U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraq U23 has conceded goals in 62% of their last 37 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Iraq U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Oman U23's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Oman U23 VS Iraq U23
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oman U23

(Home)
13 May
Qatar U23
1 : 3
Oman U23
11 May
Qatar U23
2 : 1
Oman U23
31 Mar
United Arab Emirates U23
3 : 1
Oman U23
10 Dec
Oman U23
1 : 1
Yemen U23
07 Dec
Oman U23
0 : 2
Iraq U23
Page 1 of 6

Iraq U23

(Away)
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
11 Jan
Thailand U23
1 : 1
Iraq U23
08 Jan
Iraq U23
0 : 0
China U23
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 3 3 0 0 19:1 9
2 Turkmenistan U23 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Bhutan U23 3 1 0 2 3:14 3
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Kuwait U23 3 1 1 1 2:6 4
3 Afghanistan U23 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Myanmar U23 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Yemen U23 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Bangladesh U23 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Singapore U23 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 3 2 1 0 20:0 7
2 China U23 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Northern Mariana Islands U23 3 0 0 3 0:30 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Uzbekistan U23 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
3 Palestine U23 3 1 0 2 7:4 3
4 Sri Lanka U23 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Lebanon U23 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Malaysia U23 3 1 0 2 8:3 3
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Cambodia U23 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Oman U23 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
4 Pakistan U23 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 3 0 0 17:2 9
2 India U23 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 0 2 11:4 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 0:29 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U23 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 0 1 17:3 6
3 Hong Kong U23 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
4 Guam U23 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Indonesia U23 3 1 1 1 5:1 4
3 Laos U23 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria U23 3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 Philippines U23 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Tajikistan U23 3 1 0 2 4:2 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams