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Onehunga vs Western Suburbs

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Western Suburbs advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Onehunga
15%
Draws
26%
Western Suburbs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Onehunga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Western Suburbs have managed 1.7 goals a game lately — Onehunga are scoring more at 2.21.
  • Win probability leans Onehunga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Western Suburbs, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Onehunga Clean Sheet 20%
Western Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Onehunga Western Suburbs
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 0 2
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 2.21 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2018 Chatham Cup
Onehunga vs Western Suburbs
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Onehunga 85 / 100
Western Suburbs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Onehunga Western Suburbs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Onehunga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Onehunga scored in 86% of their last 14 games.

Western Suburbs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Onehunga remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Western Suburbs
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Onehunga

(Home)
25 Aug
Napier City
2 : 1
Onehunga
03 Aug
Onehunga
5 : 4
Wellington Olympic
06 Jul
Onehunga
2 : 0
North Shore
04 Aug
Onehunga
1 : 4
Western Suburbs
14 Jul
Melville
1 : 3
Onehunga
Page 1 of 3

Western Suburbs

(Away)
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7
Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Miramar
2 : 1
Western Suburbs
23 Nov
Western Suburbs
1 : 0
Auckland United
15 Nov
Christchurch
3 : 1
Western Suburbs
09 Nov
Western Suburbs
1 : 1
Auckland FC 2
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Manukau United 3
Mt Albert Ponsonby 1
Cashmere Technical 2
Roslyn Wakari 0
Melville 1
Onehunga 3
North Wellington 1
Western Suburbs 4
Wairarapa United 2
Stop Out SC 1
Birkenhead 4
Western Springs 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 1
Green Island AFC 0
Central United 0
East Coast 5
Quarter-finals
Manukau United 1
Cashmere Technical 2
Onehunga 1
Western Suburbs 4
Wairarapa United 1
Birkenhead 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 1
East Coast 0
Semi-finals
Cashmere Technical 2
Western Suburbs 3
Birkenhead 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 0
Final
Western Suburbs 1
Birkenhead 2