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Operario AC vs Aquidauanense Prediction & H2H Stats

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Sul-Matogrossense 2023
Operario AC Logo

Operario AC

2 - 1
FT
Aquidauanense Logo

Aquidauanense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2023 game between Operario AC and Aquidauanense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Operario AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Operario AC
15%
Draws
80%
Aquidauanense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aquidauanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Operario AC haven't matched Aquidauanense's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Aquidauanense taking it.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aquidauanense here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Operario AC Clean Sheet 13%
Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario AC Aquidauanense
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 1 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.85 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Operario AC
2:1
Feb 5, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario AC vs Aquidauanense
2:1
Jan 19, 2019 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Operario AC
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario AC 10 / 100
Aquidauanense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario AC Aquidauanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquidauanense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Aquidauanense conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Operario AC found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (26 games).

Solid form: Operario AC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Operario AC VS Aquidauanense
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario AC

(Home)
10 Nov
Operario AC
0 : 1
Naviraiense
03 Nov
Aguia Negra
1 : 0
Operario AC
27 Oct
Comercial MS
4 : 2
Operario AC
19 Oct
Operario AC
0 : 2
7 de Setembro
05 Oct
Naviraiense
1 : 1
Operario AC
Page 1 of 6

Aquidauanense

(Away)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
26 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Aquidauanense
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
7 de Setembro
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 8 6 1 1 15:6 19
2 Operario MS 8 5 0 3 13:8 15
3 Chapadao 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Coxim 8 2 2 4 4:11 8
5 Comercial MS 8 0 2 6 4:12 2
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 6 1 1 11:5 19
2 Ivinhema 8 3 2 3 14:9 11
3 Novoperario 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
4 Aquidauanense 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Operario AC 8 1 2 5 9:15 5
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)