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Operario AC vs Comercial MS Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024
Operario AC Logo

Operario AC

1 - 2
FT
Comercial MS Logo

Comercial MS

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Comercial MS in this Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comercial MS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Operario AC
20%
Draws
73%
Comercial MS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Comercial MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Comercial MS have won more games recently than Operario AC.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Comercial MS taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Comercial MS here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Operario AC Clean Sheet 20%
Comercial MS Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario AC Comercial MS
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 1 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.85 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Comercial MS vs Operario AC
4:2
Sep 21, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Operario AC vs Comercial MS
1:2
Mar 17, 2019 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario AC vs Comercial MS
1:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario AC 10 / 100
Comercial MS 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario AC Comercial MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial MS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial MS has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Operario AC found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (26 games).

Solid form: Operario AC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Operario AC VS Comercial MS
0 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario AC

(Home)
10 Nov
Operario AC
0 : 1
Naviraiense
03 Nov
Aguia Negra
1 : 0
Operario AC
27 Oct
Comercial MS
4 : 2
Operario AC
19 Oct
Operario AC
0 : 2
7 de Setembro
05 Oct
Naviraiense
1 : 1
Operario AC
Page 1 of 6

Comercial MS

(Away)
02 Aug
Comercial MS
2 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Comercial MS
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
2 Aguia Negra 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
3 7 de Setembro 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
4 Comercial MS 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
5 Operario AC 8 0 3 5 6:13 3
6 Misto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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