Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Operario MS vs Chapadao

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Operario MS in this Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Operario MS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Operario MS
15%
Draws
46%
Chapadao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chapadao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Chapadao haven't matched Operario MS's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 68%
Chapadao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario MS Chapadao
Matches Played 52 30
Wins 28 13
Draws 14 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.56 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Chapadao
2:1
Feb 12, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Operario MS
1:0
Apr 6, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Operario MS
1:1
Mar 20, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Chapadao
4:0
Mar 13, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Operario MS
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario MS 41 / 100
Chapadao 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario MS Chapadao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario MS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario MS scored in 81% of their last 52 games.

Chapadao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Operario MS remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Operario MS VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario MS

(Home)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
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Chapadao

(Away)
02 Apr
Ivinhema
2 : 4
Chapadao
26 Mar
Chapadao
0 : 3
Ivinhema
12 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Chapadao
05 Mar
Chapadao
1 : 1
Coxim
03 Mar
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Chapadao
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