Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Oratory in this FA Trophy 2013/2014 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mtarfa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Oratory average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Mtarfa's 0.68.
- Mtarfa are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Oratory, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Oratory Clean Sheet 20%
Mtarfa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oratory | Mtarfa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 18 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.56 | 3.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.67 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2013 FA Trophy
Oratory vs Mtarfa
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oratory 16 / 100
Mtarfa 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oratory Mtarfa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mtarfa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Mtarfa conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.
Mtarfa's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Oratory scored in 56% of their last 18 outings.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
- VS Mtarfa
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 4.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Oratory
(Home) 07 Dec
Zebbug
6 : 1 Oratory
13 Dec
Oratory
0 : 2 Fgura
16 Nov
Naxxar Lions
5 : 1 Oratory
08 Dec
Nadur
7 : 0 Oratory
27 Dec
Oratory
1 : 8 Zebbug
Page 1 of 4
13 Dec
Oratory
0 : 2 Fgura
27 Dec
Oratory
1 : 8 Zebbug
31 Aug
Oratory
0 : 8 Ghajnsielem
11 Sept
Oratory
4 : 5 Kercem Ajax
03 Sept
Oratory
4 : 0 Ghaxaq
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Mtarfa
(Away) 19 Apr
Mtarfa
1 : 5 Santa Lucia
11 Apr
Marsa
5 : 0 Mtarfa
01 Apr
Mtarfa
0 : 1 Vittoriosa
15 Mar
Gudja
3 : 0 Mtarfa
07 Mar
Mtarfa
0 : 2 Zurrieq
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11 Apr
Marsa
5 : 0 Mtarfa
15 Mar
Gudja
3 : 0 Mtarfa
01 Mar
Zebbug
6 : 0 Mtarfa
21 Feb
Mgarr
5 : 0 Mtarfa
31 Jan
Swieqi
8 : 0 Mtarfa
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
Xbiex 4
Ghajnsielem 1
TBD -
Pembroke -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
Qrendi 2
Swieqi 3
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Kercem Ajax 6
St. Lawrence 2
Santa Lucia 1
Luqa 2
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
Mdina -
Sirens 10
Sannat Lions 1
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Munxar 1
Mtarfa 0
Oratory 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija 4
Kalkara 0
TBD -
Lija -
Melita -
TBD -
Ghaxaq 2
Nadur 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Xaghra 2
St. Venera 1
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Senglea -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Msida -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Mgarr 2
Attard 0
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
Victoria Wanderers 2
Xghajra 0
TBD -
Marsaskala FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qormi -
1/32-finals
Gzira 5
Zurrieq 1
Xbiex 0
Pembroke 6
Siggiewi 5
Swieqi 2
Zabbar 3
St. George's FC 4
Kercem Ajax 1
Luqa 2
Fgura 1
Mdina 2
Sirens 1
Marsa 0
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
Zejtun 0
Gudja 1
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Oratory 0
TBD -
Floriana -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Xewkija 0
Lija 4
Melita 3
Nadur 0
TBD -
Valletta -
Pieta 1
Hamrun 0
Xaghra 0
Mqabba FC 1
Senglea 4
Kirkop 2
TBD -
Hibernians -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Msida 0
Birzebbuga 1
Zebbug 3
Dingli Swallows 0
TBD -
Sliema -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
San Gwann 4
Marsaxlokk 0
Mgarr 0
St. Andrews 3
Tarxien -
TBD -
Gharghur 1
Mellieha 4
Victoria Wanderers 1
Marsaskala FC 0
TBD -
Qormi -
1/16-finals
Gzira 1
Pembroke 0
Siggiewi 0
St. George's FC 6
Kercem Ajax 5
Mdina 1
Sirens 1
Rabat Ajax 3
Naxxar Lions 3
Gudja 0
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Floriana 4
Mosta FC 2
Lija 1
Melita 1
Valletta 3
Pieta 1
Mqabba FC 0
Senglea 1
Hibernians 6
Balzan FC 5
Birzebbuga 2
Zebbug 1
Sliema 3
Birkirkara 4
Vittoriosa 1
San Gwann 1
St. Andrews 2
Tarxien 1
Mellieha 0
Victoria Wanderers 0
Qormi 1
1/8-finals
Gzira 2
St. George's FC 1
Kercem Ajax 1
Rabat Ajax 5
Naxxar Lions 1
Floriana 0
Mosta FC 0
Valletta 3
Pieta 1
Hibernians 0
Balzan FC 1
Sliema 2
Birkirkara 4
St. Andrews 0
Tarxien 0
Qormi 1
Quarter-finals
Gzira 2
Rabat Ajax 1
Naxxar Lions 0
Valletta 1
Pieta 0
Sliema 2
Birkirkara 1
Qormi 3
Semi-finals
Gzira 0
Valletta 2
Sliema 1
Qormi 0
Final
Valletta 1
Sliema 0
