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Orenburg vs Kairat Almaty

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Oksanen J.
15'
18'
Kasimov A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Orenburg and Kairat Almaty finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kairat Almaty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Orenburg
44%
Draws
20%
Kairat Almaty
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Orenburg haven't matched Kairat Almaty's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Orenburg Clean Sheet 12%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orenburg Kairat Almaty
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 13 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.13 2.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Orenburg vs Kairat Almaty
0:1
Feb 25, 2022 Club Friendly
Orenburg vs Kairat Almaty
3:2
Jan 19, 2017 Club Friendly
Orenburg vs Kairat Almaty
0:3
Oct 8, 2016 Club Friendly
Kairat Almaty vs Orenburg
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orenburg 35 / 100
Kairat Almaty 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orenburg Kairat Almaty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Orenburg found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).

Kairat Almaty has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Orenburg stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orenburg VS Kairat Almaty
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Orenburg

(Home)
26 Jul
Orenburg
2 : 1
FK Rostov
11 Jul
Orenburg
2 : 2
CSKA Moscow
11 Jul
Orenburg
2 : 0
CSKA Moscow
07 Jul
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1
Orenburg
03 Jul
Rubin Kazan
1 : 2
Orenburg
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Kairat Almaty

(Away)
26 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1
Ordabasy
22 Jul
Omonia
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
18 Jul
Atyrau
1 : 3
Kairat Almaty
15 Jul
Sutjeska
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty
08 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1
Sutjeska
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