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Orense vs Tecnico U.

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio 9 de Mayo
Sun, Jul 5, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orense play Tecnico U. in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Orense averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Tecnico U. averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Orense won 2, Tecnico U. won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 28, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Orense and 0.94 for Tecnico U.. This points to a Orense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Orense
19%
Draws
35%
Tecnico U.
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Orense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Orense picked up more points recently compared to Tecnico U..
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Orense Clean Sheet 24%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orense Tecnico U.
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.17 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Orense
1:1
Jul 8, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Orense
1:2
Mar 11, 2025 Liga Pro
Orense vs Tecnico U.
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Liga Pro
Orense vs Tecnico U.
0:2
May 21, 2024 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Orense
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orense 46 / 100
Tecnico U. 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orense Tecnico U.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Orense or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Orense attacking → ← attacking Tecnico U.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orense scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Tecnico U. let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Orense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tecnico U. lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 28
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Independiente del Valle16121332:1837
2Dep. Cuenca1683518:1727
3U. Catolica1675426:1426
4Barcelona SC1675418:1326
5Aucas1675419:1626
6LDU Quito1573516:1324
7Orense1564521:1922
8Emelec1664613:1622
9Tecnico U.1662817:1620
10Macara1655615:1820
11Guayaquil City1654714:1919
12Mushuc Runa1646619:2118
13Leones del Norte1645715:1817
14Libertad1645716:2217
15Delfin164488:1516
16Manta1633107:1912