Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oriental vs Aliados Lordelo

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oriental in this Taça de Portugal 2013/2014 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Oriental
20%
Draws
44%
Aliados Lordelo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aliados Lordelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aliados Lordelo lately — more wins on the board than Oriental.
  • Win probability leans Oriental's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Aliados Lordelo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Oriental, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Oriental Clean Sheet 15%
Aliados Lordelo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oriental Aliados Lordelo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2013 Taça de Portugal
Oriental vs Aliados Lordelo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oriental 39 / 100
Aliados Lordelo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oriental Aliados Lordelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oriental Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oriental scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Aliados Lordelo has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Oriental remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Aliados Lordelo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oriental VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oriental

(Home)
18 Apr
Oriental
2 : 1
Serpa
12 Apr
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1
Oriental
04 Apr
Oriental
0 : 2
Lagoa
22 Mar
Oriental
1 : 2
Alverca B
15 Mar
O Elvas CAD
0 : 0
Oriental
Page 1 of 7

Aliados Lordelo

(Away)
10 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
1 : 3
SC Vianense
21 Sept
Oriental
1 : 0
Aliados Lordelo
01 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
3 : 2
Manteigas
21 Oct
Aliados Lordelo
0 : 2
Oliveirense
16 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
2 : 1
Sertanense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
FC Porto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pedras Salgadas -
TBD -
TBD -
Trofense -
Fatima 2
Castro Daire 0
TBD -
Sporting Ideal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Camacha 5
Ansiao 0
Vila Cortez 2
Castrense 4
Riachense -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilaverdense FC -
Santa Eulalia 2
AD Portomosense 1
Almodovar 0
Ninense 1
SC Mirandela -
TBD -
TBD -
Atletico CP -
Leixoes -
TBD -
Sampedrense 0
Sacavenense 3
Bustelo -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Felgueiras -
Santa Clara -
TBD -
Coimbroes 1
Pinhalnovense 2
GD Tourizense 2
FC Lixa 1
TBD -
Covilha -
Famalicao -
TBD -
TBD -
Eirense -
SC Praiense -
TBD -
TBD -
Louletano -
Moreirense -
TBD -
Vila Flor 0
Merelinense 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
Penafiel -
TBD -
Amiense 0
Tirsense 4
Fabril do Barreiro 2
Oliv. Bairro 0
SC Salgueiros 1
Operario 2
Sao Joao de Ver 3
Ferreiras 2
TBD -
Lusitano VRSA -
Juv. Evora -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 0
Ribeirao 6
AD Oliveirense 1
Vila Mea 0
FC Pampilhosa 0
Vizela 2
Carapinheirense -
TBD -
TBD -
GS Loures -
Freamunde 3
Amarante FC 1
TBD -
Desportivo de Ronfe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marinhense -
TBD -
TBD -
Caldas SC -
Portimonense -
TBD -
1º Dezembro 0
Boavista 1
Cerveira -
TBD -
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
Sporting CP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Uniao Montemor -
TBD -
TBD -
Alba -
Cinfaes -
TBD -
Santiago FC 0
Estarreja 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Braga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GD Sourense -
TBD -
SC Vianense 1
Gafetense 2
Lusitano FCV -
TBD -
Oliveira Hospital 0
C.F. Benfica 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olhanense -
Chaves -
TBD -
GD Braganca 0
AA Avanca 1
U. Madeira -
TBD -
Carregado 0
SB Castelo Branco 1
Varzim 1
Atletico SC 0
Aguias do Moradal 0
SC Espinho 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AD Limianos -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveirense -
Leiria 2
Torreense 1
Naval 0
Marinhas 3
CD Torres Novas 2
Pero Pinheiro 1
TBD -
Tondela -
AD Fafe -
TBD -
Torre De Moncorvo 1
Perafita 2
Vitoria Sernache -
TBD -
TBD -
Piense -
Aljustrelense 3
Casa Pia 2
TBD -
Igreja Nova -
Gondomar -
TBD -
TBD -
Aves -
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BSAD -
Oriental 7
Uniao Nogueirense 0
Manteigas 2
Aliados Lordelo 3
Nogueirense 3
Vieira 0
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Feirense -
TBD -
Moura AC 1
Sousense 2
Lusitania FC 1
SC Lourinhanense 0
TBD -
SC Farense -
Mafra 2
Sintrense 1
TBD -
Oriolenses -
Grijo 3
AD Lousada 2
TBD -
Beira Mar -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Barreirense 2
O Elvas CAD 1
Atalaia do Campo 0
Alcanenense 7
Nacional -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Cesarense 4
Valenciano 3
Vila Pouca 0
Santa Maria FC 1
Sertanense 1
Anadia 0
CDR Quarteirense 1
Amora 2
Maria de Fonte 1
GD Joane 0
TBD -
Grandolense -
Esperanca de Lagos -
TBD -
TBD -
Pedras Rubras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
1/64-finals
FC Porto -
TBD -
Pedras Salgadas 0
Trofense 3
Fatima 2
Sporting Ideal 1
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Camacha 3
Castrense 2
Riachense 0
Vilaverdense FC 1
Santa Eulalia 2
Ninense 1
SC Mirandela 0
Atletico CP 1
Leixoes 2
Sacavenense 0
Bustelo 0
FC Felgueiras 2
Santa Clara 1
Pinhalnovense 0
GD Tourizense 1
Covilha 3
Famalicao 3
Eirense 0
SC Praiense 0
Louletano 2
Moreirense 9
Merelinense 0
TBD -
Estoril -
Penafiel 2
Tirsense 1
Fabril do Barreiro 0
Operario 2
Sao Joao de Ver 5
Lusitano VRSA 0
Juv. Evora 0
Ribeirao 4
AD Oliveirense 1
Vizela 0
Carapinheirense 0
GS Loures 5
Freamunde 4
Desportivo de Ronfe 0
TBD -
Maritimo -
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
Marinhense 0
Caldas SC 6
Portimonense 2
Boavista 1
Cerveira 1
Cova De Piedade 3
Sporting CP -
TBD -
Uniao Montemor 1
Alba 2
Cinfaes 5
Estarreja 1
TBD -
Benfica -
Braga -
TBD -
GD Sourense 1
Gafetense 2
Lusitano FCV 2
C.F. Benfica 1
TBD -
Olhanense -
Chaves 8
AA Avanca 0
U. Madeira 1
SB Castelo Branco 2
Varzim 3
SC Espinho 0
TBD -
Arouca -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
AD Limianos 1
Oliveirense 2
Leiria 3
Marinhas 1
CD Torres Novas 1
Tondela 5
AD Fafe 2
Perafita 1
Vitoria Sernache 2
Piense 3
Aljustrelense 3
Igreja Nova 1
Gondomar 1
Aves 2
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
BSAD -
Oriental 1
Aliados Lordelo 0
Nogueirense 1
Academico Viseu 2
Feirense 2
Sousense 1
Lusitania FC 2
SC Farense 3
Mafra 3
Oriolenses 0
Grijo 1
Beira Mar 4
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
FC Barreirense 1
Alcanenense 3
Nacional -
TBD -
FC Cesarense 1
Santa Maria FC 4
Sertanense 4
Amora 2
Maria de Fonte 2
Grandolense 3
Esperanca de Lagos 1
Pedras Rubras 0
TBD -
Rio Ave -
1/32-finals
FC Porto 1
Trofense 0
Fatima 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Camacha 2
Vilaverdense FC 1
Santa Eulalia 0
Atletico CP 1
Leixoes 1
FC Felgueiras 0
Santa Clara 1
Covilha 2
Famalicao 2
Louletano 0
Moreirense 0
Estoril 2
Penafiel 4
Operario 2
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Ribeirao 2
AD Oliveirense 3
GS Loures 0
Freamunde 1
Maritimo 3
Gil Vicente 5
Caldas SC 0
Portimonense 0
Cova De Piedade 1
Sporting CP 8
Alba 1
Cinfaes 0
Benfica 1
Braga 2
Gafetense 0
Lusitano FCV 1
Olhanense 2
Chaves 2
SB Castelo Branco 1
Varzim 1
Arouca 4
Pacos Ferreira 3
Oliveirense 1
Leiria 1
Tondela 3
AD Fafe 6
Piense 0
Aljustrelense 0
Aves 1
Academica 3
BSAD 2
Oriental 1
Academico Viseu 2
Feirense 3
SC Farense 2
Mafra 0
Beira Mar 1
Vitoria Setubal 3
Alcanenense 1
Nacional 0
Santa Maria FC 1
Sertanense 2
Grandolense 0
Esperanca de Lagos 0
Rio Ave 3
1/16-finals
FC Porto 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Camacha 1
Atletico CP 2
Leixoes 2
Covilha 1
Famalicao 0
Estoril 1
Penafiel 2
Ribeirao 0
AD Oliveirense 0
Maritimo 3
Gil Vicente 1
Cova De Piedade 0
Sporting CP 3
Benfica 4
Braga 3
Olhanense 1
Chaves 0
Arouca 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Tondela 0
AD Fafe 1
Aves 2
Academica 2
Academico Viseu 1
Feirense 2
Beira Mar 3
Vitoria Setubal 2
Santa Maria FC 1
Sertanense 2
Rio Ave 4
1/8-finals
FC Porto 6
Atletico CP 0
Leixoes 1
Estoril 5
Penafiel 3
Maritimo 2
Gil Vicente 0
Benfica 5
Braga 2
Arouca 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
Aves 2
Academica 1
Beira Mar 0
Vitoria Setubal 0
Rio Ave 1
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 2
Estoril 1
Penafiel 0
Benfica 1
Braga 3
Aves 1
Academica 0
Rio Ave 1
Semi-finals
FC Porto 2
Benfica 3
Braga 0
Rio Ave 2
Final
Benfica 1
Rio Ave 0