Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Espinola A.
67'
67'
Meca A.
Penalty Missed
88'
88'
Gimenez A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Murcia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Murcia carry the better recent record into this one.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Murcia taking it.
- Murcia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Murcia, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Orihuela Clean Sheet 10%
Murcia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orihuela | Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Copa Federacion
Orihuela vs Murcia
1:4
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Orihuela vs Murcia
1:1
Aug 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Orihuela vs Murcia
1:4
Sep 16, 2020 Club Friendly
Orihuela vs Murcia
0:1
Aug 7, 2019 Club Friendly
Orihuela vs Murcia
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orihuela Compare
Top Goalscorer Espinola A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Murcia Compare
Top Goalscorer Gimenez A.
3 Goals Assists Leader Jorquera Romero J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orihuela 26 / 100
Murcia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orihuela Murcia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Murcia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Orihuela's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Murcia let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.
Orihuela has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Orihuela VS Murcia
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Orihuela
(Home) 26 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4 Castellon B
20 Sept
Deportiva Minera
2 : 2 Orihuela
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4 Murcia
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
08 Sept
UD San Fernando
1 : 3 Orihuela
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4 Castellon B
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4 Murcia
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
29 Aug
Orihuela
1 : 1 Valencia B
15 Aug
Orihuela
0 : 1 Ciudad Cieza
Page 1 of 3
Murcia
(Away) 19 Sept
Murcia
2 : 1 CE Europa
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4 Murcia
13 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 0 Murcia
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2 Murcia
06 Sept
Murcia
4 : 0 Teruel
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4 Murcia
13 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 0 Murcia
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2 Murcia
29 Aug
Hercules
1 : 2 Murcia
12 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 1 Murcia
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Comillas CF 3
L Hospitalet 2
CF Badalona 2
Sestao 3
AD San Juan 0
Terrassa 1
Binefar 1
Porreres 0
Santa Marta Tormes 2
Vimenor 1
Bergantinos 5
Leioa 0
Compostela 1
Derio 2
Salamanca CF UDS 3
Caudal Deportivo 2
Motril 0
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 2
UD San Pedro 0
Melilla 0
Conil 1
Sporting Ceuta 0
Dos Hermanas 9
Torrent 1
Atletico Saguntino 2
CF Talavera 0
Navalcarnero 2
UD San Fernando 1
Orihuela 3
Mensajero 1
Murcia 2
1/8-finals
Comillas CF 1
Sestao 2
Terrassa 4
Binefar 0
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Bergantinos 0
Derio 3
Salamanca CF UDS 5
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 1
Conil 1
Dos Hermanas 0
Atletico Saguntino 0
Navalcarnero 4
Orihuela 1
Murcia 4
Quarter-finals
Sestao -
Terrassa -
Santa Marta Tormes -
Salamanca CF UDS -
Recreativo Huelva -
Conil -
Navalcarnero -
Murcia -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
