Sport Picks

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Orkla vs Herd

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Landro L.
51' Event
Berntsen S.
86' Event
Saether M.

AI Match Summary

Herd in this Division 3 - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Herd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Orkla
15%
Draws
36%
Herd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Orkla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Orkla haven't matched Herd's recent run of results.
  • Herd are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Orkla Clean Sheet 10%
Herd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orkla Herd
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.72 1.67
Goals Conceded 3.07 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Orkla vs Herd
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orkla Compare

Top Goalscorer Landro L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Herd Compare

Top Goalscorer Berntsen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saether M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orkla 14 / 100
Herd 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orkla Herd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Herd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herd has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Orkla scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Herd lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orkla VS Herd
2.25 Goals Scored 2.75
4 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Orkla

(Home)
05 Sept
Orkla
3 : 1
Ntnui
31 Aug
Ranheim 2
3 : 3
Orkla
15 Aug
Orkla
2 : 5
Spjelkavik
08 Aug
Melhus
8 : 3
Orkla
03 Aug
Orkla
1 : 2
Rosenborg 2
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Herd

(Away)
05 Sept
Herd
1 : 4
Melhus
30 Aug
Ntnui
2 : 1
Herd
15 Aug
Herd
9 : 0
Ranheim 2
10 Aug
Aalesund 2
3 : 0
Herd
31 Jul
Herd
0 : 1
Volda
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