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Orkla vs Herd

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Landro L.
51' Event
Berntsen S.
86' Event
Saether M.

AI Match Summary

Herd in this Division 3 - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Herd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Orkla
6%
Draws
90%
Herd
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Herd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Orkla haven't matched Herd's recent run of results.
  • Herd are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Orkla Clean Sheet 10%
Herd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orkla Herd
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Orkla vs Herd
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orkla Compare

Top Goalscorer Landro L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Herd Compare

Top Goalscorer Berntsen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saether M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orkla 10 / 100
Herd 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orkla Herd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herd has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Orkla scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Orkla went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orkla VS Herd
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Orkla

(Home)
27 Jun
Orkla
3 : 5
Molde 2
20 Jun
Spjelkavik
0 : 2
Orkla
13 Jun
Orkla
2 : 5
Volda
30 May
FK Kvik
1 : 1
Orkla
22 May
Orkla
0 : 2
Melhus
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Herd

(Away)
27 Jun
Herd
2 : 2
Ntnui
20 Jun
FK Kvik
1 : 5
Herd
13 Jun
Herd
4 : 1
Nardo
30 May
Ranheim 2
2 : 2
Herd
26 May
Herd
0 : 2
Aalesund 2
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