Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union

USA USA

MLS Inter&Co Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Rick A.
19' Event
Ojeda M.
(Penalty)
27' Event
Dorsey G.

AI Match Summary

Orlando City in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orlando City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Orlando City
22%
Draws
18%
Philadelphia Union
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Orlando City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Orlando City have won more games recently than Philadelphia Union.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Orlando City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Orlando City Clean Sheet 11%
Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orlando City Philadelphia Union
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 2.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 MLS
Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union
4:3
Apr 5, 2025 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 MLS
Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union
2:4
Oct 2, 2024 MLS
Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union
2:1
May 11, 2024 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orlando City Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorsey G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGuire D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Philadelphia Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Iloski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sullivan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orlando City 56 / 100
Philadelphia Union 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orlando City Philadelphia Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orlando City found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Philadelphia Union has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Orlando City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orlando City VS Philadelphia Union
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Los Angeles FC1683527:1727
4Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
5FC Dallas1574430:2225
6Seattle Sounders1473418:1624
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1655622:2520
10St. Louis City1554619:2219
11Portland Timbers1552827:2917
12San Diego FC1545630:2717
13Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City15321016:3911
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC15113132:1136
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1543822:3115
12Toronto FC1536622:2915
13Orlando City1542923:4414
14Atlanta United15321014:2411
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307