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Orlando Pride W vs Bay FC W

USA USA

NWSL Women Inter&Co Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Banda B.
Assist: Luana
7' Event
Conti C.
33'
Sub
Hernandez O. In: Anderson H.
Out: Hernandez O.

AI Match Summary

Orlando Pride W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orlando Pride W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Orlando Pride W
30%
Draws
34%
Bay FC W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orlando Pride W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Orlando Pride W have won more games recently than Bay FC W.
  • Win probability leans Orlando Pride W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Orlando Pride W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Orlando Pride W Clean Sheet 20%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orlando Pride W Bay FC W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Bay FC W
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Bay FC W
1:1
Jun 14, 2025 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Orlando Pride W
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Orlando Pride W
0:1
May 11, 2024 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Bay FC W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orlando Pride W Compare

Top Goalscorer Banda B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dyke C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bay FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Conti C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orlando Pride W 36 / 100
Bay FC W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orlando Pride W Bay FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bay FC W conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Orlando Pride W scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Orlando Pride W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orlando Pride W VS Bay FC W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Washington Spirit W1593324:1230
2Gotham FC W1593319:1030
3San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
4Portland Thorns FC W1683525:1827
5Utah Royals W1583422:1627
6Kansas City Current W1581623:2225
7Angel City W1471622:1422
8North Carolina Courage W1463520:1921
9Orlando Pride W1662821:2120
10Denver Summit W1454521:1919
11Bay FC W1453616:1918
12Seattle Reign W1452715:1917
13Houston Dash W1544718:2416
14Boston Legacy W1644817:2316
15Chicago Stars W1540118:3012
16Racing Louisville W14221016:278