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Orlando Pride W vs Chicago Stars W Prediction & H2H Stats

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NWSL Women Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Marta
Penalty Missed
46'
Sub
Chacon I. In: Ouahabi L.
Out: Chacon I.
46'
Sub
Bike J. In: Hendrich K.
Out: Bike J.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Orlando Pride W and Chicago Stars W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orlando Pride W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Orlando Pride W
20%
Draws
10%
Chicago Stars W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orlando Pride W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Orlando Pride W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Orlando Pride W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Orlando Pride W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Orlando Pride W Clean Sheet 68%
Chicago Stars W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orlando Pride W Chicago Stars W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 2
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.31 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Chicago Stars W
1:0
Mar 26, 2026 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Orlando Pride W
0:3
Sep 7, 2025 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Orlando Pride W
5:2
Mar 15, 2025 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Chicago Stars W
6:0
Nov 9, 2024 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Chicago Stars W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orlando Pride W Compare

Top Goalscorer Doyle J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Chicago Stars W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orlando Pride W 95 / 100
Chicago Stars W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orlando Pride W Chicago Stars W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orlando Pride W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chicago Stars W conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Orlando Pride W scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Orlando Pride W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orlando Pride W VS Chicago Stars W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Orlando Pride W

(Home)
03 Oct
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2
San Diego Wave W
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3
Orlando Pride W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4
Portland Thorns FC W
12 Sept
Kansas City Current W
2 : 2
Orlando Pride W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1
Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 6

Chicago Stars W

(Away)
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1
Chicago Stars W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6
North Carolina Courage W
30 Aug
Denver Summit W
6 : 1
Chicago Stars W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 26 16 6 4 34:20 54
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
7 Angel City W 26 12 6 8 44:28 42
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 26 9 8 9 42:37 35
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 26 8 6 12 32:36 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 26 5 2 19 15:60 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)