Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orn vs Elverum

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 Lystlunden Stadion, Horten
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Boldvik O.
67' Event
Nelsinho
86' Event
Nelsinho

AI Match Summary

Elverum in this Division 3 - Group 6 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elverum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Orn
20%
Draws
51%
Elverum
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elverum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Elverum have won more games recently than Orn.
  • Orn are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Elverum have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Orn Clean Sheet 10%
Elverum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orn Elverum
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 6 2
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.62 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Elverum vs Orn
1:0
Jun 13, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Orn vs Elverum
0:3
Aug 25, 2012 Division 2 - Group 1
Elverum vs Orn
1:1
May 12, 2012 Division 2 - Group 1
Orn vs Elverum
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Elverum Compare

Top Goalscorer Nelsinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Boldvik O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orn 34 / 100
Elverum 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orn Elverum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Orn scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Elverum's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Orn went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orn VS Elverum
1.63 Goals Scored 3.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Orn

(Home)
19 Sept
Orn
0 : 2
Oppsal
12 Sept
Sandefjord 2
1 : 1
Orn
07 Sept
Orn
3 : 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
30 Aug
Bjorkelangen
2 : 5
Orn
23 Aug
Flint
2 : 0
Orn
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Elverum

(Away)
19 Sept
Elverum
4 : 1
Raelingen
16 Sept
Elverum
0 : 3
Raufoss
12 Sept
Rade
4 : 2
Elverum
05 Sept
Brumunddal
1 : 1
Elverum
30 Aug
Elverum
4 : 3
Lillehammer
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