Sport Picks
Match Events
48'
48'
Berardi A.
90'
90'
Marchegiani M.
AI Match Summary
Orvietana in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orvietana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Orvietana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Terranuova Traiana lately — more wins on the board than Orvietana.
- Win probability leans Orvietana's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Orvietana Clean Sheet 68%
Terranuova Traiana Clean Sheet 21%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orvietana | Terranuova Traiana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Terranuova Traiana vs Orvietana
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Orvietana vs Terranuova Traiana
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Orvietana vs Terranuova Traiana
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Terranuova Traiana vs Orvietana
2:2
Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Terranuova Traiana vs Orvietana
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orvietana Compare
Top Goalscorer Berardi A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marchegiani M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Terranuova Traiana Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orvietana 68 / 100
Terranuova Traiana 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orvietana Terranuova Traiana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ORV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Orvietana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Orvietana found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Terranuova Traiana has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Orvietana VS Terranuova Traiana
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Orvietana
(Home) 10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0 Poggibonsi
03 May
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 0 Orvietana
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
19 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
0 : 1 Orvietana
12 Apr
Orvietana
0 : 1 Scandicci
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0 Poggibonsi
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
12 Apr
Orvietana
0 : 1 Scandicci
29 Mar
Orvietana
0 : 0 Cannara
01 Mar
Orvietana
0 : 2 Camaiore Calcio
Page 1 of 3
Terranuova Traiana
(Away) 03 May
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 0 Orvietana
26 Apr
Tau
3 : 2 Terranuova Traiana
19 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
2 : 1 Camaiore Calcio
12 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
03 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 0 Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Tau
3 : 2 Terranuova Traiana
12 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
29 Mar
Seravezza Pozzi
2 : 0 Terranuova Traiana
15 Mar
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
22 Feb
Prato
1 : 0 Terranuova Traiana
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)
