Sport Picks
Os Marialvas vs Mortagua FC
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Mortagua FC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mortagua FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Os Marialvas haven't matched Mortagua FC's recent run of results.
- Os Marialvas are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Os Marialvas | Mortagua FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Os Marialvas Compare
Mortagua FC Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Os Marialvas found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Mortagua FC conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Os Marialvas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Mortagua FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Os Marialvas
(Home)Mortagua FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 32 |
| 10 | GD Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico FC | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | 17 |