Sport Picks
Os Marialvas vs Uniao Da Serra
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 
Match Events
66'
66'
Gameiro D.
81'
81'
Sonhi Y.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 game between Os Marialvas and Uniao Da Serra finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Os Marialvas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Uniao Da Serra come out ahead of Os Marialvas on wins alone.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Os Marialvas taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Os Marialvas Clean Sheet 68%
Uniao Da Serra Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Os Marialvas | Uniao Da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Os Marialvas vs Uniao Da Serra
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao Da Serra vs Os Marialvas
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Os Marialvas Compare
Top Goalscorer Sonhi Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Uniao Da Serra Compare
Top Goalscorer Gameiro D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Os Marialvas 59 / 100
Uniao Da Serra 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Os Marialvas Uniao Da Serra
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Os Marialvas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Os Marialvas found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: Uniao Da Serra conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Os Marialvas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Os Marialvas VS Uniao Da Serra
1 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Os Marialvas
(Home) 20 Sept
UD Ovarense
0 : 1 Os Marialvas
13 Sept
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3 Os Marialvas
06 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 0 Fatima
30 Aug
Fornos de Algodres
0 : 4 Os Marialvas
23 Aug
Os Marialvas
1 : 2 Oliveira Hospital
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 0 Fatima
23 Aug
Os Marialvas
1 : 2 Oliveira Hospital
12 Apr
Os Marialvas
0 : 0 Naval 1893
29 Mar
Os Marialvas
1 : 1 Uniao Da Serra
22 Mar
Os Marialvas
2 : 0 Fatima
Page 1 of 3
Uniao Da Serra
(Away) 20 Sept
Amora
3 : 4 Uniao Da Serra
13 Sept
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1 Mortagua FC
06 Sept
Nogueirense
1 : 1 Uniao Da Serra
30 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
5 : 0 Uniao de Pombal
23 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1 Alverca B
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Amora
3 : 4 Uniao Da Serra
06 Sept
Nogueirense
1 : 1 Uniao Da Serra
16 Aug
Naval 1893
1 : 2 Uniao Da Serra
18 Apr
Samora Correia
4 : 2 Uniao Da Serra
04 Apr
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 0 Uniao Da Serra
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 32 |
| 10 | GD Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico FC | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | 17 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
