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Osogovo vs Prespa

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Osogovo Logo

Osogovo

2 - 0
FT
Prespa Logo

Prespa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL 2025/2026 game between Osogovo and Prespa finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Osogovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Osogovo
20%
Draws
48%
Prespa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Prespa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Osogovo come out ahead of Prespa on wins alone.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Osogovo taking it.
  • Regular 2. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Osogovo Clean Sheet 20%
Prespa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osogovo Prespa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 8 0
Losses 10 25
Goals Scored 1.55 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 2. MFL
Prespa vs Osogovo
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 2. MFL
Osogovo vs Prespa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osogovo 85 / 100
Prespa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osogovo Prespa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osogovo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prespa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Osogovo scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Prespa's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Osogovo VS Prespa
2.25 Goals Scored 0.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.83
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Osogovo

(Home)
19 Sept
Teteks
0 : 0
Osogovo
13 Sept
Osogovo
0 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
09 Sept
Osogovo
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
05 Sept
Detonit Plackovica
2 : 1
Osogovo
29 Aug
Osogovo
0 : 0
Novaci
Page 1 of 7

Prespa

(Away)
23 May
Prespa
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
16 May
Sloga Vinica
3 : 2
Prespa
10 May
Prespa
0 : 3
Detonit Plackovica
03 May
Golemo Konjari
0 : 1
Prespa
25 Apr
Prespa
0 : 2
FK Skopje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 30 22 5 3 72:17 71
2 FK Skopje 30 23 2 5 72:20 71
3 Shkendija Haracine 30 21 6 3 67:19 69
4 Ohrid 30 21 5 4 78:17 68
5 Belasica Strumica 30 18 4 8 57:21 58
6 Osogovo 30 16 6 8 53:27 54
7 Novaci 30 15 6 9 47:31 51
8 Detonit Plackovica 30 14 7 9 52:28 49
9 Kozuf Gevgelija 30 12 9 9 50:26 45
10 Teteks 30 13 3 14 56:44 42
11 Kamenica Sasa 30 9 9 12 47:53 36
12 Vardar Negotino 30 6 4 20 37:95 22
13 Sloga Vinica 30 4 3 23 31:84 15
14 Prespa 30 5 0 25 30:76 15
15 Pobeda 30 3 2 25 19:117 11
16 Golemo Konjari 30 2 1 27 17:110 7
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)