Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ostersund vs Sundsvall

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Jamtkraft Arena, Ostersund
Fri, Aug 7, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ostersund host Sundsvall in the Superettan. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Ostersund have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Sundsvall's 0.75 scored and 2.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Sundsvall slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.13) point toward Ostersund. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ostersund
6%
Draws
4%
Sundsvall
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ostersund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ostersund lately — more wins on the board than Sundsvall.
  • Model gives Ostersund a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ostersund Clean Sheet 20%
Sundsvall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostersund Sundsvall
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Ostersund
0:2
Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Ostersund vs Sundsvall
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Superettan
Ostersund vs Sundsvall
1:3
Jun 28, 2025 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Ostersund
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Ostersund vs Sundsvall
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostersund 85 / 100
Sundsvall 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostersund Sundsvall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundsvall's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Sundsvall lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Ostersund scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ostersund VS Sundsvall
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostersund

(Home)
26 Jul
Norrby
2 : 2
Ostersund
18 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 0
Landskrona
11 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 4
Orebro
27 Jun
Sundsvall
0 : 2
Ostersund
21 Jun
Ostersund
0 : 2
Norrkoping
Page 1 of 6

Sundsvall

(Away)
26 Jul
Sundsvall
1 : 2
Falkenberg
20 Jul
Norrby
3 : 1
Sundsvall
27 Jun
Sundsvall
0 : 2
Ostersund
21 Jun
Helsingborg
5 : 2
Sundsvall
15 Jun
Sundsvall
0 : 4
Oster
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Falkenberg1694332:2431
2Varberg1593332:1930
3Norrkoping1592426:1029
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Landskrona1574422:1625
6Nordic United1574425:2225
7Oster1572624:2523
8Helsingborg1572629:3123
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1555528:2620
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1535713:2214
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)