Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ostersund vs Sundsvall

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Jamtkraft Arena, Ostersund
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ali J.
Assist: Marklund S.
58'
Ali J.
63'
Sub
Manchon M. In: Halling I.
Out: Manchon M.

AI Match Summary

Ostersund in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostersund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ostersund
30%
Draws
35%
Sundsvall
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ostersund lately — more wins on the board than Sundsvall.
  • Model gives Ostersund a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ostersund Clean Sheet 20%
Sundsvall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostersund Sundsvall
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 11 2
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.23 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Superettan
Ostersund vs Sundsvall
1:0
Jun 27, 2026 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Ostersund
0:2
Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Ostersund vs Sundsvall
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Superettan
Ostersund vs Sundsvall
1:3
Jun 28, 2025 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Ostersund
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Sundsvall Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostersund 85 / 100
Sundsvall 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostersund Sundsvall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostersund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundsvall's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Ostersund went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ostersund scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ostersund VS Sundsvall
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostersund

(Home)
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
14 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 0
Helsingborg
10 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 1
Brage
07 Sept
Orebro
0 : 1
Ostersund
29 Aug
Landskrona
1 : 1
Ostersund
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Sundsvall

(Away)
20 Sept
Sundsvall
3 : 2
Ljungskile
15 Sept
Landskrona
4 : 0
Sundsvall
10 Sept
Sundsvall
0 : 3
Orebro
05 Sept
Brage
0 : 1
Sundsvall
31 Aug
Sundsvall
1 : 0
Norrby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)