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Ostiamare vs Termoli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Badje I.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Ostiamare and Termoli finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ostiamare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ostiamare
20%
Draws
50%
Termoli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Termoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ostiamare come out ahead of Termoli on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Termoli's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ostiamare Clean Sheet 20%
Termoli Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostiamare Termoli
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 6 14
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.81 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.03 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Ostiamare vs Termoli
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Ostiamare
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostiamare Compare

Top Goalscorer Badje I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.79
Avg xA / game 0.52

Termoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostiamare 16 / 100
Termoli 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostiamare Termoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Termoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostiamare's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Termoli let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Ostiamare has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ostiamare VS Termoli
1.5 Goals Scored 0.57
1 Goals Conceded 0.57
63% Over 1.5 29%
63% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostiamare

(Home)
16 Aug
Latina
2 : 1
Ostiamare
05 Aug
Lazio
4 : 0
Ostiamare
26 Jul
Ostiamare
0 : 2
Benevento
13 May
Grosseto
2 : 3
Ostiamare
10 May
Ostiamare
0 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 7

Termoli

(Away)
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1
Aquila Calcio
26 Apr
Ostiamare
1 : 0
Termoli
19 Apr
Termoli
1 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0
Sammaurese
12 Apr
Teramo
0 : 0
Termoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)